Arequipa's October 4, 2026, municipal election features a crowded field of at least 15 admitted candidate lists for provincial mayor, with no dominant frontrunner yet established. Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa of Renovación Popular holds the highest implied probability at 37.5% amid active campaign launches and government-plan presentations in recent weeks, followed closely by Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez and others in the low-to-mid 30s. Incumbent dynamics and opposition from figures like Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar contribute to the split, while the large number of contenders fragments support and sustains tight trader consensus. Upcoming registration finalizations and early polling could shift positioning before the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Arequipa
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa 38%
Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar 33%
Lizbeth Zavala Vilca 29.0%
Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna 24%

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa
38%

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar
33%

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca
17%

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna
24%

Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres
17%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera
9%

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal
7%

Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias
7%

Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta
7%

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes
6%

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe
6%

Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez
6%

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto
6%

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz
5%

Isidro Flores Sosa
18%

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera
22%

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga
1%

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy
1%

José Miguel Briones Silva
1%

Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama
22%
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa 38%
Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar 33%
Lizbeth Zavala Vilca 29.0%
Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna 24%

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa
38%

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar
33%

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca
17%

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna
24%

Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres
17%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera
9%

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal
7%

Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias
7%

Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta
7%

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes
6%

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe
6%

Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez
6%

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto
6%

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz
5%

Isidro Flores Sosa
18%

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera
22%

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga
1%

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy
1%

José Miguel Briones Silva
1%

Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama
22%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Arequipa's October 4, 2026, municipal election features a crowded field of at least 15 admitted candidate lists for provincial mayor, with no dominant frontrunner yet established. Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa of Renovación Popular holds the highest implied probability at 37.5% amid active campaign launches and government-plan presentations in recent weeks, followed closely by Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez and others in the low-to-mid 30s. Incumbent dynamics and opposition from figures like Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar contribute to the split, while the large number of contenders fragments support and sustains tight trader consensus. Upcoming registration finalizations and early polling could shift positioning before the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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