**Augusto Cury and Renan Santos remain the closest contenders for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, with trader pricing reflecting their narrow polling margins and Ronaldo Caiado trailing further back.** Cury, the Avante candidate, rose sharply in late August after television appearances framed him as a centrist outsider critical of polarization between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro; recent surveys show his support fluctuating between roughly 3% and 11% as some voters shift elsewhere. Renan Santos of the Missão party, drawing on his MBL activist background, has countered with pointed attacks on Cury and stronger emphasis on confronting criminal factions and Supreme Court issues, holding steady or gaining slightly in the latest releases. Caiado’s PSD bid has stayed in the low single digits. With the first round days away, shifts in undecided voters, debate performances, or late media attention on the “third way” could still alter the ordering among these lower-polling candidates.