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Política·Elecciones Globales

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo

icon for Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo
Política·Elecciones Globales

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo

Lorenzo Pazolini 41%

Ricardo Ferraço 38%

Sergio Vidigal 14.1%

Arnaldinho Borgo 13.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Lorenzo Pazolini 41%

Ricardo Ferraço 38%

Sergio Vidigal 14.1%

Arnaldinho Borgo 13.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Lorenzo Pazolini

$1,949 Vol.

41%

Ricardo Ferraço

$205 Vol.

38%

Sergio Vidigal

$166 Vol.

14%

Arnaldinho Borgo

$284 Vol.

13%

Euclério Sampaio

$248 Vol.

4%

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice-governor assuming the state executive in 2026, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing at 52% for the October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, driven by incumbency advantages, cross-party alliances, and recent surveys showing him ahead or tied with Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos). Pazolini, mayor of Vitória, trails at 41.5% amid strong name recognition but faces a fragmented field that includes lower-polling names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Euclério Sampaio, and Sergio Vidigal. Polling from May and June 2026 reflects tight first-round intentions near 35% each for the top two, with undecided voters and alliance shifts remaining key variables. The close market odds mirror this competitive dynamic, where turnout among regional blocs or late consolidation could still alter outcomes before election day.

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$2,852
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice-governor assuming the state executive in 2026, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing at 52% for the October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, driven by incumbency advantages, cross-party alliances, and recent surveys showing him ahead or tied with Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos). Pazolini, mayor of Vitória, trails at 41.5% amid strong name recognition but faces a fragmented field that includes lower-polling names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Euclério Sampaio, and Sergio Vidigal. Polling from May and June 2026 reflects tight first-round intentions near 35% each for the top two, with undecided voters and alliance shifts remaining key variables. The close market odds mirror this competitive dynamic, where turnout among regional blocs or late consolidation could still alter outcomes before election day.

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$2,852
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Lorenzo Pazolini" con 41%, seguido de "Ricardo Ferraço" con 38%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 41¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 12, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo" es "Lorenzo Pazolini" con 41%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ricardo Ferraço" con 38%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.