Mike Beltran holds the lead in trader consensus for the FL-14 Republican primary winner at 61% implied probability, ahead of Kevin Steele at 37.5%, with all other candidates at much lower levels. The district was redrawn to favor Republicans against longtime Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor. Beltran, a former Hillsborough County state representative, benefits from stronger local name recognition and consistent polling in some recent surveys, while Steele, a Pasco County lawmaker, showed a lead in at least one early August poll but faces questions over residency. The eight-candidate field remains competitive heading into the August 18 primary, with Beltran and Steele dominating fundraising and visibility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMike Beltran 63%
Kevin Steele 36%
Ergin "Batman" Tek <1%
Michael Marcel <1%
$35,164 Vol.
$35,164 Vol.
Mike Beltran
63%
Kevin Steele
36%
Ergin "Batman" Tek
<1%
Michael Marcel
<1%
John Peters
<1%
Robert "Rocky" Rochford
<1%
Gavriel Soriano
<1%
Bea Valenti
<1%
Mike Beltran 63%
Kevin Steele 36%
Ergin "Batman" Tek <1%
Michael Marcel <1%
$35,164 Vol.
$35,164 Vol.
Mike Beltran
63%
Kevin Steele
36%
Ergin "Batman" Tek
<1%
Michael Marcel
<1%
John Peters
<1%
Robert "Rocky" Rochford
<1%
Gavriel Soriano
<1%
Bea Valenti
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Jul 23, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mike Beltran holds the lead in trader consensus for the FL-14 Republican primary winner at 61% implied probability, ahead of Kevin Steele at 37.5%, with all other candidates at much lower levels. The district was redrawn to favor Republicans against longtime Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor. Beltran, a former Hillsborough County state representative, benefits from stronger local name recognition and consistent polling in some recent surveys, while Steele, a Pasco County lawmaker, showed a lead in at least one early August poll but faces questions over residency. The eight-candidate field remains competitive heading into the August 18 primary, with Beltran and Steele dominating fundraising and visibility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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