Florida's Republican lean and term-limited incumbent Ron DeSantis position the GOP nominee as the clear favorite in the November 3, 2026, general election. U.S. Representative Byron Donalds leads the Republican primary ahead of the August 18 vote, while former Representative David Jolly stands as the likely Democratic nominee. Multiple polls show Donalds ahead of Jolly by margins of roughly four to six points, consistent with the state's voting patterns in recent cycles and ratings from forecasters classifying the race as solid or likely Republican. Traders appear to weigh these structural and polling factors heavily when assessing the implied probabilities for each party's nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de Florida
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida
$35,007 Vol.
$35,007 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
83%
Demócrata
18%
$35,007 Vol.
$35,007 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$14,553 Vol.
83%
Demócrata
$20,454 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican lean and term-limited incumbent Ron DeSantis position the GOP nominee as the clear favorite in the November 3, 2026, general election. U.S. Representative Byron Donalds leads the Republican primary ahead of the August 18 vote, while former Representative David Jolly stands as the likely Democratic nominee. Multiple polls show Donalds ahead of Jolly by margins of roughly four to six points, consistent with the state's voting patterns in recent cycles and ratings from forecasters classifying the race as solid or likely Republican. Traders appear to weigh these structural and polling factors heavily when assessing the implied probabilities for each party's nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$35,007Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican lean and term-limited incumbent Ron DeSantis position the GOP nominee as the clear favorite in the November 3, 2026, general election. U.S. Representative Byron Donalds leads the Republican primary ahead of the August 18 vote, while former Representative David Jolly stands as the likely Democratic nominee. Multiple polls show Donalds ahead of Jolly by margins of roughly four to six points, consistent with the state's voting patterns in recent cycles and ratings from forecasters classifying the race as solid or likely Republican. Traders appear to weigh these structural and polling factors heavily when assessing the implied probabilities for each party's nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$35,007Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's Republican lean and term-limited incumbent Ron DeSantis position the GOP nominee as the clear favorite in the November 3, 2026, general election. U.S. Representative Byron Donalds leads the Republican primary ahead of the August 18 vote, while former Representative David Jolly stands as the likely Democratic nominee. Multiple polls show Donalds ahead of Jolly by margins of roughly four to six points, consistent with the state's voting patterns in recent cycles and ratings from forecasters classifying the race as solid or likely Republican. Traders appear to weigh these structural and polling factors heavily when assessing the implied probabilities for each party's nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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