Official meteorological observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daily maximum of exactly 14 °C at the key Buenos Aires reporting station on May 16, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that outcome. A post-frontal southerly flow and variable cloud cover suppressed daytime heating well below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C, consistent with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models. This strong consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than forecasts, though rare late data revisions at the Minister Pistarini station or station-specific micro-climate adjustments could theoretically shift resolution within the narrow uncertainty band typical of mid-autumn conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 16 de mayo?
14°C 100.0%
10°C o menos <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$63,099 Vol.
$63,099 Vol.
10°C o menos
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Sí
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C o más
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C o menos <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$63,099 Vol.
$63,099 Vol.
10°C o menos
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Sí
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official meteorological observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daily maximum of exactly 14 °C at the key Buenos Aires reporting station on May 16, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that outcome. A post-frontal southerly flow and variable cloud cover suppressed daytime heating well below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C, consistent with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models. This strong consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than forecasts, though rare late data revisions at the Minister Pistarini station or station-specific micro-climate adjustments could theoretically shift resolution within the narrow uncertainty band typical of mid-autumn conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes