Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from regional monitoring agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature in Buenos Aires near 14–15°C on May 17, driven by cool, stable autumn air masses and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs typically range from 16–19°C but frequently dip lower amid strengthening southerly flows and reduced solar insolation. Updated model runs show minimal warming potential through peak afternoon hours, supporting the market-implied odds of 60% for 14°C and 36% for 15°C while keeping higher thresholds below 3%. Traders are closely watching final observational data and any late-day shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter the exact peak before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 17 de mayo?
14°C 73%
15°C 21%
16°C 2.0%
17°C <1%
$26,077 Vol.
$26,077 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
73%
15°C
21%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 73%
15°C 21%
16°C 2.0%
17°C <1%
$26,077 Vol.
$26,077 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
73%
15°C
21%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZRecent meteorological observations and forecast models from regional monitoring agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature in Buenos Aires near 14–15°C on May 17, driven by cool, stable autumn air masses and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs typically range from 16–19°C but frequently dip lower amid strengthening southerly flows and reduced solar insolation. Updated model runs show minimal warming potential through peak afternoon hours, supporting the market-implied odds of 60% for 14°C and 36% for 15°C while keeping higher thresholds below 3%. Traders are closely watching final observational data and any late-day shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter the exact peak before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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