The market consensus for a 19°C high in Cape Town on May 15 stems from official daily maximum readings recorded at primary stations under the South African Weather Service, confirming a peak temperature consistent with late-autumn climatology. Persistent westerly flow from the cooler Atlantic, combined with clear skies and moderate humidity, suppressed typical warming and kept values aligned with historical May averages around 18–20°C. Traders have fully priced in these verified observations, leaving negligible scope for upside resolution unless post-event data revisions or localized microclimate effects emerge—scenarios that official monitoring protocols rarely alter at this stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$45,462 Vol.
$45,462 Vol.
15 may 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$45,462 Vol.
$45,462 Vol.
15 may 2026
14°C or below
$2,649 Vol.
No
15°C
$993 Vol.
No
16°C
$987 Vol.
No
17°C
$6,857 Vol.
No
18°C
$7,605 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,537 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$9,866 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,963 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,995 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,967 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$1,041 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus for a 19°C high in Cape Town on May 15 stems from official daily maximum readings recorded at primary stations under the South African Weather Service, confirming a peak temperature consistent with late-autumn climatology. Persistent westerly flow from the cooler Atlantic, combined with clear skies and moderate humidity, suppressed typical warming and kept values aligned with historical May averages around 18–20°C. Traders have fully priced in these verified observations, leaving negligible scope for upside resolution unless post-event data revisions or localized microclimate effects emerge—scenarios that official monitoring protocols rarely alter at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Volumen
$45,462Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus for a 19°C high in Cape Town on May 15 stems from official daily maximum readings recorded at primary stations under the South African Weather Service, confirming a peak temperature consistent with late-autumn climatology. Persistent westerly flow from the cooler Atlantic, combined with clear skies and moderate humidity, suppressed typical warming and kept values aligned with historical May averages around 18–20°C. Traders have fully priced in these verified observations, leaving negligible scope for upside resolution unless post-event data revisions or localized microclimate effects emerge—scenarios that official monitoring protocols rarely alter at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$45,462Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
The market consensus for a 19°C high in Cape Town on May 15 stems from official daily maximum readings recorded at primary stations under the South African Weather Service, confirming a peak temperature consistent with late-autumn climatology. Persistent westerly flow from the cooler Atlantic, combined with clear skies and moderate humidity, suppressed typical warming and kept values aligned with historical May averages around 18–20°C. Traders have fully priced in these verified observations, leaving negligible scope for upside resolution unless post-event data revisions or localized microclimate effects emerge—scenarios that official monitoring protocols rarely alter at this stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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