Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 19°C in Cape Town on May 15 (99.9% implied probability), aligned with the South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of a partly cloudy day with maximums around 19–20°C, light northerly winds shifting moderate southerly, and minimums near 12°C following recent heavy rains and a lingering cold front influence offshore. Current observations from Cape Town stations confirm midday peaks holding at 19°C amid persistent cloud cover and autumnal cooling patterns, where May historical averages hover at 19°C daytime highs per long-term SAWS climatology. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing skies allowing brief solar heating to 20°C before evening, though low sun angles and sea breeze limit upside; final SAWS daily report expected post-midnight will resolve.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$38,578 Vol.
$38,578 Vol.
15 may 2026
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$38,578 Vol.
$38,578 Vol.
15 may 2026
19°C
$4,878 Vol.
100%
20°C
$3,876 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,730 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,994 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,967 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$1,041 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 19°C in Cape Town on May 15 (99.9% implied probability), aligned with the South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of a partly cloudy day with maximums around 19–20°C, light northerly winds shifting moderate southerly, and minimums near 12°C following recent heavy rains and a lingering cold front influence offshore. Current observations from Cape Town stations confirm midday peaks holding at 19°C amid persistent cloud cover and autumnal cooling patterns, where May historical averages hover at 19°C daytime highs per long-term SAWS climatology. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing skies allowing brief solar heating to 20°C before evening, though low sun angles and sea breeze limit upside; final SAWS daily report expected post-midnight will resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Volumen
$38,578Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 19°C in Cape Town on May 15 (99.9% implied probability), aligned with the South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of a partly cloudy day with maximums around 19–20°C, light northerly winds shifting moderate southerly, and minimums near 12°C following recent heavy rains and a lingering cold front influence offshore. Current observations from Cape Town stations confirm midday peaks holding at 19°C amid persistent cloud cover and autumnal cooling patterns, where May historical averages hover at 19°C daytime highs per long-term SAWS climatology. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing skies allowing brief solar heating to 20°C before evening, though low sun angles and sea breeze limit upside; final SAWS daily report expected post-midnight will resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$38,578Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 19°C in Cape Town on May 15 (99.9% implied probability), aligned with the South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of a partly cloudy day with maximums around 19–20°C, light northerly winds shifting moderate southerly, and minimums near 12°C following recent heavy rains and a lingering cold front influence offshore. Current observations from Cape Town stations confirm midday peaks holding at 19°C amid persistent cloud cover and autumnal cooling patterns, where May historical averages hover at 19°C daytime highs per long-term SAWS climatology. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing skies allowing brief solar heating to 20°C before evening, though low sun angles and sea breeze limit upside; final SAWS daily report expected post-midnight will resolve.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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