Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, supported by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical mid-May atmospheric stability across the Sichuan Basin. This consensus aligns with recent model runs showing limited variability and places the expected high just above the city’s long-term May average. With market-implied odds exceeding 97 percent for exactly 31°C, traders are pricing in strong agreement across official guidance and ensemble predictions. The outcome could shift only if an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a brief northerly surge arrives before peak heating, though both scenarios remain low-probability based on the latest observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 17 de mayo?
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
23°C or below <1%
$62,161 Vol.
$62,161 Vol.
17 may 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
23°C or below <1%
$62,161 Vol.
$62,161 Vol.
17 may 2026
23°C or below
$1,343 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,724 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,055 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,962 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,948 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,164 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,310 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,226 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,887 Vol.
100%
32°C
$6,992 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$6,682 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, supported by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical mid-May atmospheric stability across the Sichuan Basin. This consensus aligns with recent model runs showing limited variability and places the expected high just above the city’s long-term May average. With market-implied odds exceeding 97 percent for exactly 31°C, traders are pricing in strong agreement across official guidance and ensemble predictions. The outcome could shift only if an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a brief northerly surge arrives before peak heating, though both scenarios remain low-probability based on the latest observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$62,161Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, supported by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical mid-May atmospheric stability across the Sichuan Basin. This consensus aligns with recent model runs showing limited variability and places the expected high just above the city’s long-term May average. With market-implied odds exceeding 97 percent for exactly 31°C, traders are pricing in strong agreement across official guidance and ensemble predictions. The outcome could shift only if an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a brief northerly surge arrives before peak heating, though both scenarios remain low-probability based on the latest observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$62,161Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUCurrent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, supported by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical mid-May atmospheric stability across the Sichuan Basin. This consensus aligns with recent model runs showing limited variability and places the expected high just above the city’s long-term May average. With market-implied odds exceeding 97 percent for exactly 31°C, traders are pricing in strong agreement across official guidance and ensemble predictions. The outcome could shift only if an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a brief northerly surge arrives before peak heating, though both scenarios remain low-probability based on the latest observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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