Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models center Chengdu’s May 18 maximum near 31 °C, driving the closely matched 24 % implied probabilities for both the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Subtle differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns within the Sichuan Basin create the narrow spread across leading contracts. These projections sit slightly above the region’s late-May climatological average of 28–30 °C, with resolution determined by official readings at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport. Fresh model updates expected within the next 24 hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or higher side of the current range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 18 de mayo?
30°C 24%
31°C 24%
32°C 19%
29°C 18%
NUEVO
$13,489 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,489 Vol.
18 may 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
18%
30°C
24%
31°C
24%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 24%
31°C 24%
32°C 19%
29°C 18%
NUEVO
$13,489 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,489 Vol.
18 may 2026
26°C or below
$1,626 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,123 Vol.
2%
28°C
$810 Vol.
9%
29°C
$1,124 Vol.
18%
30°C
$753 Vol.
24%
31°C
$1,127 Vol.
24%
32°C
$1,078 Vol.
19%
33°C
$960 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,191 Vol.
2%
35°C
$725 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$2,971 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models center Chengdu’s May 18 maximum near 31 °C, driving the closely matched 24 % implied probabilities for both the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Subtle differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns within the Sichuan Basin create the narrow spread across leading contracts. These projections sit slightly above the region’s late-May climatological average of 28–30 °C, with resolution determined by official readings at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport. Fresh model updates expected within the next 24 hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or higher side of the current range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$13,489Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models center Chengdu’s May 18 maximum near 31 °C, driving the closely matched 24 % implied probabilities for both the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Subtle differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns within the Sichuan Basin create the narrow spread across leading contracts. These projections sit slightly above the region’s late-May climatological average of 28–30 °C, with resolution determined by official readings at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport. Fresh model updates expected within the next 24 hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or higher side of the current range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,489Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUURecent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models center Chengdu’s May 18 maximum near 31 °C, driving the closely matched 24 % implied probabilities for both the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Subtle differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns within the Sichuan Basin create the narrow spread across leading contracts. These projections sit slightly above the region’s late-May climatological average of 28–30 °C, with resolution determined by official readings at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport. Fresh model updates expected within the next 24 hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or higher side of the current range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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