Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate a high likelihood of a 27°C peak in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating in this subtropical region. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet current steering patterns and moisture influx align with readings capped at or below the recent baseline. Traders have consolidated around the 27°C outcome as the most probable resolution based on official station data from Baiyun International Airport. Unexpected afternoon clearing or reduced rainfall could push temperatures toward 28–29°C, while heavier convective activity might hold the maximum lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 17 de mayo?
27°C 100.0%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,156 Vol.
$30,156 Vol.
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
27°C 100.0%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,156 Vol.
$30,156 Vol.
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGRecent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate a high likelihood of a 27°C peak in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating in this subtropical region. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet current steering patterns and moisture influx align with readings capped at or below the recent baseline. Traders have consolidated around the 27°C outcome as the most probable resolution based on official station data from Baiyun International Airport. Unexpected afternoon clearing or reduced rainfall could push temperatures toward 28–29°C, while heavier convective activity might hold the maximum lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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