Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on a Guangzhou high near 29°C for May 18, with southerly flow and moderate humidity driving daytime heating across the Pearl River Delta. Scattered convective clouds and possible patchy rain may limit peak solar insolation, keeping the most likely outcome between 28°C and 30°C. Historical May climatology shows average daily maxima around 29°C, though day-to-day variability rises with pre-monsoon moisture patterns. Traders price these bins highest because model consensus favors modest warming without strong clear-sky conditions or incoming cold fronts. Updated runs and official observational data from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport will refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 18 de mayo?
29°C 36%
30°C 22%
28°C 22%
27°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
22%
29°C
36%
30°C
22%
31°C
4%
32°C o más
1%
29°C 36%
30°C 22%
28°C 22%
27°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
22°C o menos
$754 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,821 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$255 Vol.
6%
27°C
$298 Vol.
16%
28°C
$310 Vol.
22%
29°C
$540 Vol.
36%
30°C
$370 Vol.
22%
31°C
$308 Vol.
4%
32°C o más
$816 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on a Guangzhou high near 29°C for May 18, with southerly flow and moderate humidity driving daytime heating across the Pearl River Delta. Scattered convective clouds and possible patchy rain may limit peak solar insolation, keeping the most likely outcome between 28°C and 30°C. Historical May climatology shows average daily maxima around 29°C, though day-to-day variability rises with pre-monsoon moisture patterns. Traders price these bins highest because model consensus favors modest warming without strong clear-sky conditions or incoming cold fronts. Updated runs and official observational data from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$7,959Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on a Guangzhou high near 29°C for May 18, with southerly flow and moderate humidity driving daytime heating across the Pearl River Delta. Scattered convective clouds and possible patchy rain may limit peak solar insolation, keeping the most likely outcome between 28°C and 30°C. Historical May climatology shows average daily maxima around 29°C, though day-to-day variability rises with pre-monsoon moisture patterns. Traders price these bins highest because model consensus favors modest warming without strong clear-sky conditions or incoming cold fronts. Updated runs and official observational data from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,959Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGRecent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on a Guangzhou high near 29°C for May 18, with southerly flow and moderate humidity driving daytime heating across the Pearl River Delta. Scattered convective clouds and possible patchy rain may limit peak solar insolation, keeping the most likely outcome between 28°C and 30°C. Historical May climatology shows average daily maxima around 29°C, though day-to-day variability rises with pre-monsoon moisture patterns. Traders price these bins highest because model consensus favors modest warming without strong clear-sky conditions or incoming cold fronts. Updated runs and official observational data from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport will refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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