The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson screen protocols at urban stations, has driven near-certain trader consensus around this outcome amid clear subtropical high-pressure conditions that suppressed peak warming. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts had pointed to modest daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning closely with observed data and historical May baselines for the region. This positioning reflects verified observational evidence rather than projections, with minimal scope for revision given the finalized meteorological records. Only an unlikely post-analysis adjustment to station data or reclassification of the measurement window could alter resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,770 Vol.
$302,770 Vol.
16 may 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,770 Vol.
$302,770 Vol.
16 may 2026
19°C or below
$20,087 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$12,423 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$12,259 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,753 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$37,336 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$77,348 Vol.
100%
26°C
$43,033 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$39,652 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$25,260 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$24,002 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson screen protocols at urban stations, has driven near-certain trader consensus around this outcome amid clear subtropical high-pressure conditions that suppressed peak warming. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts had pointed to modest daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning closely with observed data and historical May baselines for the region. This positioning reflects verified observational evidence rather than projections, with minimal scope for revision given the finalized meteorological records. Only an unlikely post-analysis adjustment to station data or reclassification of the measurement window could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volumen
$302,770Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson screen protocols at urban stations, has driven near-certain trader consensus around this outcome amid clear subtropical high-pressure conditions that suppressed peak warming. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts had pointed to modest daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning closely with observed data and historical May baselines for the region. This positioning reflects verified observational evidence rather than projections, with minimal scope for revision given the finalized meteorological records. Only an unlikely post-analysis adjustment to station data or reclassification of the measurement window could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$302,770Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson screen protocols at urban stations, has driven near-certain trader consensus around this outcome amid clear subtropical high-pressure conditions that suppressed peak warming. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts had pointed to modest daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning closely with observed data and historical May baselines for the region. This positioning reflects verified observational evidence rather than projections, with minimal scope for revision given the finalized meteorological records. Only an unlikely post-analysis adjustment to station data or reclassification of the measurement window could alter resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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