Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and international numerical weather prediction ensembles show a daytime maximum of 25°C under a stable subtropical high-pressure system combined with lingering moisture and persistent cloud cover from a weak monsoon trough. These conditions suppress surface heating and keep maximum temperatures from reaching typical May climatological values of 28–31°C. With the trading day nearly complete, market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the official measurement, as any deviation would require an unexpected late surge in insolation or a rapid shift in steering flow that current observations do not support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 17 de mayo?
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$259,122 Vol.
$259,122 Vol.
17 may 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$259,122 Vol.
$259,122 Vol.
17 may 2026
19°C or below
$3,029 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,037 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,261 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,657 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,693 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$37,047 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$101,229 Vol.
100%
26°C
$52,052 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$24,320 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12,445 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$16,399 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and international numerical weather prediction ensembles show a daytime maximum of 25°C under a stable subtropical high-pressure system combined with lingering moisture and persistent cloud cover from a weak monsoon trough. These conditions suppress surface heating and keep maximum temperatures from reaching typical May climatological values of 28–31°C. With the trading day nearly complete, market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the official measurement, as any deviation would require an unexpected late surge in insolation or a rapid shift in steering flow that current observations do not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$259,122Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and international numerical weather prediction ensembles show a daytime maximum of 25°C under a stable subtropical high-pressure system combined with lingering moisture and persistent cloud cover from a weak monsoon trough. These conditions suppress surface heating and keep maximum temperatures from reaching typical May climatological values of 28–31°C. With the trading day nearly complete, market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the official measurement, as any deviation would require an unexpected late surge in insolation or a rapid shift in steering flow that current observations do not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$259,122Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and international numerical weather prediction ensembles show a daytime maximum of 25°C under a stable subtropical high-pressure system combined with lingering moisture and persistent cloud cover from a weak monsoon trough. These conditions suppress surface heating and keep maximum temperatures from reaching typical May climatological values of 28–31°C. With the trading day nearly complete, market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the official measurement, as any deviation would require an unexpected late surge in insolation or a rapid shift in steering flow that current observations do not support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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