Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international numerical weather prediction models show a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture that promotes cloud cover while limiting surface heating under a moist easterly flow. This setup deviates from typical late-May climatology, where clearer conditions often support highs of 28–31°C. Scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms could further cap peaks by 1–2°C depending on timing, tightening model consensus around the 25°C threshold. Trader positioning reflects this strong agreement, though unexpected clearing or shifts in the monsoon trough could push readings to 26°C or higher before the daily maximum is recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 17 de mayo?
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$262,933 Vol.
$262,933 Vol.
17 may 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$262,933 Vol.
$262,933 Vol.
17 may 2026
19°C or below
$3,029 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,037 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,261 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,657 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,693 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$38,077 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$103,041 Vol.
100%
26°C
$52,906 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$24,323 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12,511 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$16,399 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international numerical weather prediction models show a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture that promotes cloud cover while limiting surface heating under a moist easterly flow. This setup deviates from typical late-May climatology, where clearer conditions often support highs of 28–31°C. Scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms could further cap peaks by 1–2°C depending on timing, tightening model consensus around the 25°C threshold. Trader positioning reflects this strong agreement, though unexpected clearing or shifts in the monsoon trough could push readings to 26°C or higher before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$262,933Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international numerical weather prediction models show a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture that promotes cloud cover while limiting surface heating under a moist easterly flow. This setup deviates from typical late-May climatology, where clearer conditions often support highs of 28–31°C. Scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms could further cap peaks by 1–2°C depending on timing, tightening model consensus around the 25°C threshold. Trader positioning reflects this strong agreement, though unexpected clearing or shifts in the monsoon trough could push readings to 26°C or higher before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$262,933Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international numerical weather prediction models show a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture that promotes cloud cover while limiting surface heating under a moist easterly flow. This setup deviates from typical late-May climatology, where clearer conditions often support highs of 28–31°C. Scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms could further cap peaks by 1–2°C depending on timing, tightening model consensus around the 25°C threshold. Trader positioning reflects this strong agreement, though unexpected clearing or shifts in the monsoon trough could push readings to 26°C or higher before the daily maximum is recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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