Current forecasts from NOAA and regional models indicate Houston will reach daytime highs near or above 86°F today, driven by southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers. This aligns with May climatology at Hobby Airport, where the long-term average high is 86°F and recent days have trended similarly without strong frontal intrusions or northerly cooling. The 87.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions, though afternoon convective activity could introduce minor variability before official resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 17 de mayo?
86°F or higher 87.7%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
$16,985 Vol.
$16,985 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
12%
86°F or higher
88%
86°F or higher 87.7%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
$16,985 Vol.
$16,985 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
12%
86°F or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUCurrent forecasts from NOAA and regional models indicate Houston will reach daytime highs near or above 86°F today, driven by southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers. This aligns with May climatology at Hobby Airport, where the long-term average high is 86°F and recent days have trended similarly without strong frontal intrusions or northerly cooling. The 87.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions, though afternoon convective activity could introduce minor variability before official resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes