Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and Istanbul Airport METAR reports confirm the day's highest surface air temperature at 15°C, recorded amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs, which forecasted subdued highs due to a stable boundary layer and low-level moisture trapping cooler air near the surface—deviating from May's climatological average of 21°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, with real capital wagering on resolution criteria met. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing skies and solar insolation spiking temperatures post-6 PM local time before sunset around 8 PM, though current satellite imagery shows no such trend emerging.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 14?
15°C 99.9%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$52,372 Vol.
$52,372 Vol.
14 may 2026
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.9%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$52,372 Vol.
$52,372 Vol.
14 may 2026
15°C
$6,556 Vol.
100%
16°C
$3,899 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,718 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5,099 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$10,135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and Istanbul Airport METAR reports confirm the day's highest surface air temperature at 15°C, recorded amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs, which forecasted subdued highs due to a stable boundary layer and low-level moisture trapping cooler air near the surface—deviating from May's climatological average of 21°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, with real capital wagering on resolution criteria met. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing skies and solar insolation spiking temperatures post-6 PM local time before sunset around 8 PM, though current satellite imagery shows no such trend emerging.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
Volumen
$52,372Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and Istanbul Airport METAR reports confirm the day's highest surface air temperature at 15°C, recorded amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs, which forecasted subdued highs due to a stable boundary layer and low-level moisture trapping cooler air near the surface—deviating from May's climatological average of 21°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, with real capital wagering on resolution criteria met. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing skies and solar insolation spiking temperatures post-6 PM local time before sunset around 8 PM, though current satellite imagery shows no such trend emerging.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$52,372Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and Istanbul Airport METAR reports confirm the day's highest surface air temperature at 15°C, recorded amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs, which forecasted subdued highs due to a stable boundary layer and low-level moisture trapping cooler air near the surface—deviating from May's climatological average of 21°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, with real capital wagering on resolution criteria met. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing skies and solar insolation spiking temperatures post-6 PM local time before sunset around 8 PM, though current satellite imagery shows no such trend emerging.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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