Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate a transitional spring pattern for Los Angeles on May 19, with onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer likely capping daytime highs near 72–74 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in the afternoon maximum, driven by variable cloud cover and sea-breeze timing that can shift peak temperatures by 2–3 °F. Historical May climatology places the normal high around 73 °F, providing a baseline against which current guidance is measured. Because the most probable outcomes cluster tightly, traders are weighting the latest 12z and 00z model updates, which will be refined by tomorrow’s morning soundings and any changes in the subtropical ridge position.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 19 de mayo?
74°F or higher 40%
72-73°F 31%
70-71°F 15%
68-69°F 10%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
31%
74°F or higher
39%
74°F or higher 40%
72-73°F 31%
70-71°F 15%
68-69°F 10%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
31%
74°F or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXRecent National Weather Service model runs indicate a transitional spring pattern for Los Angeles on May 19, with onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer likely capping daytime highs near 72–74 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in the afternoon maximum, driven by variable cloud cover and sea-breeze timing that can shift peak temperatures by 2–3 °F. Historical May climatology places the normal high around 73 °F, providing a baseline against which current guidance is measured. Because the most probable outcomes cluster tightly, traders are weighting the latest 12z and 00z model updates, which will be refined by tomorrow’s morning soundings and any changes in the subtropical ridge position.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes