India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 42°C on May 17 under clear pre-monsoon skies typical of the Ganges Plain. This aligns with historical mid-May averages of 40–42°C, driven by strong solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover that favors daytime warming. Recent model runs show limited moisture influx or western disturbance activity, reducing the chance of significant cooling or convective suppression that could cap highs below 41°C. Traders appear to weigh these baseline conditions against short-term variability in surface observations and ensemble spread, keeping the 41°C-or-below outcome as the market favorite while assigning meaningful probability to a 42°C peak. Updated IMD guidance and afternoon satellite data ahead of resolution will be key.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 17 de mayo?
41°C or below 67%
42°C 25%
43°C 5.5%
44°C 2.6%
NUEVO
$17,301 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,301 Vol.
17 may 2026
41°C or below
67%
42°C
25%
43°C
6%
44°C
3%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 67%
42°C 25%
43°C 5.5%
44°C 2.6%
NUEVO
$17,301 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,301 Vol.
17 may 2026
41°C or below
$1,779 Vol.
67%
42°C
$1,469 Vol.
25%
43°C
$1,061 Vol.
6%
44°C
$1,324 Vol.
3%
45°C
$1,942 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$2,065 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$1,359 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$3,601 Vol.
<1%
49°C
$798 Vol.
<1%
50°C
$861 Vol.
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,086 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 42°C on May 17 under clear pre-monsoon skies typical of the Ganges Plain. This aligns with historical mid-May averages of 40–42°C, driven by strong solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover that favors daytime warming. Recent model runs show limited moisture influx or western disturbance activity, reducing the chance of significant cooling or convective suppression that could cap highs below 41°C. Traders appear to weigh these baseline conditions against short-term variability in surface observations and ensemble spread, keeping the 41°C-or-below outcome as the market favorite while assigning meaningful probability to a 42°C peak. Updated IMD guidance and afternoon satellite data ahead of resolution will be key.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$17,301Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 42°C on May 17 under clear pre-monsoon skies typical of the Ganges Plain. This aligns with historical mid-May averages of 40–42°C, driven by strong solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover that favors daytime warming. Recent model runs show limited moisture influx or western disturbance activity, reducing the chance of significant cooling or convective suppression that could cap highs below 41°C. Traders appear to weigh these baseline conditions against short-term variability in surface observations and ensemble spread, keeping the 41°C-or-below outcome as the market favorite while assigning meaningful probability to a 42°C peak. Updated IMD guidance and afternoon satellite data ahead of resolution will be key.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$17,301Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKIndia Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 42°C on May 17 under clear pre-monsoon skies typical of the Ganges Plain. This aligns with historical mid-May averages of 40–42°C, driven by strong solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover that favors daytime warming. Recent model runs show limited moisture influx or western disturbance activity, reducing the chance of significant cooling or convective suppression that could cap highs below 41°C. Traders appear to weigh these baseline conditions against short-term variability in surface observations and ensemble spread, keeping the 41°C-or-below outcome as the market favorite while assigning meaningful probability to a 42°C peak. Updated IMD guidance and afternoon satellite data ahead of resolution will be key.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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