Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C for Madrid on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show minimal variability, with surface observations confirming dew points and wind patterns consistent with this range rather than the warmer anomalies sometimes seen in late spring. Historical May climatology at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport places average highs around 21–23°C, providing context for why traders assign the strongest implied probability to 22°C while giving secondary weight to 23°C. Updated model guidance and real-time station data released throughout the day will determine final resolution within the narrow 21–24°C window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 17 de mayo?
22°C 65%
23°C 34%
24°C 5.5%
25°C <1%
$33,405 Vol.
$33,405 Vol.
17 may 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
65%
23°C
31%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 65%
23°C 34%
24°C 5.5%
25°C <1%
$33,405 Vol.
$33,405 Vol.
17 may 2026
17°C or below
$2,658 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,646 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,373 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,574 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$6,388 Vol.
1%
22°C
$4,385 Vol.
65%
23°C
$3,792 Vol.
31%
24°C
$2,893 Vol.
6%
25°C
$2,129 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,275 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$972 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C for Madrid on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show minimal variability, with surface observations confirming dew points and wind patterns consistent with this range rather than the warmer anomalies sometimes seen in late spring. Historical May climatology at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport places average highs around 21–23°C, providing context for why traders assign the strongest implied probability to 22°C while giving secondary weight to 23°C. Updated model guidance and real-time station data released throughout the day will determine final resolution within the narrow 21–24°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$33,405Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C for Madrid on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show minimal variability, with surface observations confirming dew points and wind patterns consistent with this range rather than the warmer anomalies sometimes seen in late spring. Historical May climatology at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport places average highs around 21–23°C, providing context for why traders assign the strongest implied probability to 22°C while giving secondary weight to 23°C. Updated model guidance and real-time station data released throughout the day will determine final resolution within the narrow 21–24°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$33,405Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDCurrent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C for Madrid on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show minimal variability, with surface observations confirming dew points and wind patterns consistent with this range rather than the warmer anomalies sometimes seen in late spring. Historical May climatology at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport places average highs around 21–23°C, providing context for why traders assign the strongest implied probability to 22°C while giving secondary weight to 23°C. Updated model guidance and real-time station data released throughout the day will determine final resolution within the narrow 21–24°C window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes