PAGASA observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City, Metro Manila—the official benchmark for such records—confirm a maximum temperature of 36.1°C at 2:00 PM today amid partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on 36°C as the day's high. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 34–36°C highs during May's dry season peak, when solar heating maximizes mid-afternoon before evening cooling and potential rainshowers suppress further rises. Historical May averages hover around 33–35°C, with current localized thunderstorms limiting convective heating. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge past 37°C before sunset, unlikely per model consensus; final daily extremes report expected soon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on May 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 15?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$28,965 Vol.
$28,965 Vol.
15 may 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$28,965 Vol.
$28,965 Vol.
15 may 2026
29°C or below
$574 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,001 Vol.
No
31°C
$719 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,095 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,509 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,873 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,475 Vol.
No
36°C
$5,897 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$3,724 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,977 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$3,120 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City, Metro Manila—the official benchmark for such records—confirm a maximum temperature of 36.1°C at 2:00 PM today amid partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on 36°C as the day's high. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 34–36°C highs during May's dry season peak, when solar heating maximizes mid-afternoon before evening cooling and potential rainshowers suppress further rises. Historical May averages hover around 33–35°C, with current localized thunderstorms limiting convective heating. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge past 37°C before sunset, unlikely per model consensus; final daily extremes report expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volumen
$28,965Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City, Metro Manila—the official benchmark for such records—confirm a maximum temperature of 36.1°C at 2:00 PM today amid partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on 36°C as the day's high. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 34–36°C highs during May's dry season peak, when solar heating maximizes mid-afternoon before evening cooling and potential rainshowers suppress further rises. Historical May averages hover around 33–35°C, with current localized thunderstorms limiting convective heating. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge past 37°C before sunset, unlikely per model consensus; final daily extremes report expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$28,965Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
PAGASA observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City, Metro Manila—the official benchmark for such records—confirm a maximum temperature of 36.1°C at 2:00 PM today amid partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on 36°C as the day's high. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 34–36°C highs during May's dry season peak, when solar heating maximizes mid-afternoon before evening cooling and potential rainshowers suppress further rises. Historical May averages hover around 33–35°C, with current localized thunderstorms limiting convective heating. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge past 37°C before sunset, unlikely per model consensus; final daily extremes report expected soon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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