Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate Miami’s daytime high today will likely fall in the mid-80s under partly cloudy skies and typical May humidity. Light easterly flow and a developing sea breeze are moderating peak temperatures by enhancing mixing and limiting full solar heating, which explains the tight market split favoring the 84–85 °F bracket. Forecast uncertainty stems mainly from afternoon convective development that could either cap or briefly exceed model consensus, with official observations from Miami International Airport serving as the resolution source. Traders are therefore weighting current model runs and short-term trends more heavily than climatological normals near 87 °F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 17 de mayo?
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 25.2%
88-89°F 3.0%
$70,664 Vol.
$70,664 Vol.
75°F o menos
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94°F o más
<1%
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 25.2%
88-89°F 3.0%
$70,664 Vol.
$70,664 Vol.
75°F o menos
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIALatest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate Miami’s daytime high today will likely fall in the mid-80s under partly cloudy skies and typical May humidity. Light easterly flow and a developing sea breeze are moderating peak temperatures by enhancing mixing and limiting full solar heating, which explains the tight market split favoring the 84–85 °F bracket. Forecast uncertainty stems mainly from afternoon convective development that could either cap or briefly exceed model consensus, with official observations from Miami International Airport serving as the resolution source. Traders are therefore weighting current model runs and short-term trends more heavily than climatological normals near 87 °F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes