Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus position a daytime high of 86–87°F as the most probable outcome for Miami on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions favor modest warming without strong advection or convective cooling, aligning with historical May averages near 85°F at Miami International Airport. Traders have priced in a modest chance of 88–89°F if ridging strengthens slightly, while lower bins reflect limited downside risk from any overnight marine influence. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of resolution, with typical forecast uncertainty of ±2°F in subtropical spring regimes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 18 de mayo?
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 6%
NUEVO
$16,996 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,996 Vol.
18 may 2026
77°F o menos
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F o más
<1%
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 6%
NUEVO
$16,996 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,996 Vol.
18 may 2026
77°F o menos
$786 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$955 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$661 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,964 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$1,965 Vol.
15%
86-87°F
$2,087 Vol.
45%
88-89°F
$2,716 Vol.
30%
90-91°F
$2,188 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$1,437 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$1,147 Vol.
1%
96°F o más
$1,112 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus position a daytime high of 86–87°F as the most probable outcome for Miami on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions favor modest warming without strong advection or convective cooling, aligning with historical May averages near 85°F at Miami International Airport. Traders have priced in a modest chance of 88–89°F if ridging strengthens slightly, while lower bins reflect limited downside risk from any overnight marine influence. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of resolution, with typical forecast uncertainty of ±2°F in subtropical spring regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$16,996Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus position a daytime high of 86–87°F as the most probable outcome for Miami on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions favor modest warming without strong advection or convective cooling, aligning with historical May averages near 85°F at Miami International Airport. Traders have priced in a modest chance of 88–89°F if ridging strengthens slightly, while lower bins reflect limited downside risk from any overnight marine influence. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of resolution, with typical forecast uncertainty of ±2°F in subtropical spring regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,996Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIARecent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus position a daytime high of 86–87°F as the most probable outcome for Miami on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions favor modest warming without strong advection or convective cooling, aligning with historical May averages near 85°F at Miami International Airport. Traders have priced in a modest chance of 88–89°F if ridging strengthens slightly, while lower bins reflect limited downside risk from any overnight marine influence. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of resolution, with typical forecast uncertainty of ±2°F in subtropical spring regimes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes