Recent meteorological analyses from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian national services show stable high-pressure conditions over northern Italy, producing a forecast maximum of 21°C for Milan on May 17. Clear skies and light northerly flow have suppressed afternoon heating and convective development, aligning multiple ensemble members around this value with minimal spread. The market’s 92.5% implied probability on 21°C captures this model consensus and current ground observations. A shift to 22°C would require unexpected solar enhancement or delayed frontal passage, while cooler outcomes remain improbable absent rapid weather regime change before evening readings are finalized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 17 de mayo?
21°C 89%
22°C 10%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$35,922 Vol.
$35,922 Vol.
17 may 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
89%
22°C
14%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 89%
22°C 10%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$35,922 Vol.
$35,922 Vol.
17 may 2026
15°C or below
$1,415 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$482 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,526 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,562 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,941 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$6,827 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$4,062 Vol.
89%
22°C
$4,441 Vol.
14%
23°C
$4,098 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,724 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,955 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological analyses from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian national services show stable high-pressure conditions over northern Italy, producing a forecast maximum of 21°C for Milan on May 17. Clear skies and light northerly flow have suppressed afternoon heating and convective development, aligning multiple ensemble members around this value with minimal spread. The market’s 92.5% implied probability on 21°C captures this model consensus and current ground observations. A shift to 22°C would require unexpected solar enhancement or delayed frontal passage, while cooler outcomes remain improbable absent rapid weather regime change before evening readings are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$35,922Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological analyses from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian national services show stable high-pressure conditions over northern Italy, producing a forecast maximum of 21°C for Milan on May 17. Clear skies and light northerly flow have suppressed afternoon heating and convective development, aligning multiple ensemble members around this value with minimal spread. The market’s 92.5% implied probability on 21°C captures this model consensus and current ground observations. A shift to 22°C would require unexpected solar enhancement or delayed frontal passage, while cooler outcomes remain improbable absent rapid weather regime change before evening readings are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$35,922Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCRecent meteorological analyses from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian national services show stable high-pressure conditions over northern Italy, producing a forecast maximum of 21°C for Milan on May 17. Clear skies and light northerly flow have suppressed afternoon heating and convective development, aligning multiple ensemble members around this value with minimal spread. The market’s 92.5% implied probability on 21°C captures this model consensus and current ground observations. A shift to 22°C would require unexpected solar enhancement or delayed frontal passage, while cooler outcomes remain improbable absent rapid weather regime change before evening readings are finalized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes