Forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and regional models supports trader alignment on a 20°C high for Moscow on August 15, 2026, with daytime maxima projected near this value under weak pressure gradients and variable cloud cover that limits additional heating. Historical August averages hover around 20–22°C, providing climatological context for the outcome, while observational data from surface stations and ensemble runs show tight clustering between 19–21°C. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum measurements, typically reported to the nearest degree. Unanticipated clear skies or shifts in advection patterns could push readings higher, though current model agreement leaves little room for deviation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 15 de agosto?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$33,344 Vol.
$33,344 Vol.
15 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$33,344 Vol.
$33,344 Vol.
15 ago 2026
15°C or below
$715 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$437 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,800 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,240 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$12,481 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$7,362 Vol.
100%
21°C
$4,068 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,078 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,226 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$645 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and regional models supports trader alignment on a 20°C high for Moscow on August 15, 2026, with daytime maxima projected near this value under weak pressure gradients and variable cloud cover that limits additional heating. Historical August averages hover around 20–22°C, providing climatological context for the outcome, while observational data from surface stations and ensemble runs show tight clustering between 19–21°C. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum measurements, typically reported to the nearest degree. Unanticipated clear skies or shifts in advection patterns could push readings higher, though current model agreement leaves little room for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$33,344Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and regional models supports trader alignment on a 20°C high for Moscow on August 15, 2026, with daytime maxima projected near this value under weak pressure gradients and variable cloud cover that limits additional heating. Historical August averages hover around 20–22°C, providing climatological context for the outcome, while observational data from surface stations and ensemble runs show tight clustering between 19–21°C. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum measurements, typically reported to the nearest degree. Unanticipated clear skies or shifts in advection patterns could push readings higher, though current model agreement leaves little room for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$33,344Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and regional models supports trader alignment on a 20°C high for Moscow on August 15, 2026, with daytime maxima projected near this value under weak pressure gradients and variable cloud cover that limits additional heating. Historical August averages hover around 20–22°C, providing climatological context for the outcome, while observational data from surface stations and ensemble runs show tight clustering between 19–21°C. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum measurements, typically reported to the nearest degree. Unanticipated clear skies or shifts in advection patterns could push readings higher, though current model agreement leaves little room for deviation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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