Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models have converged on a daytime maximum of 16–17°C for Munich, positioning these thresholds as the clear market leaders at combined implied probabilities above 70%. This outlook reflects moderate northwesterly flow and partial cloud cover limiting solar heating, consistent with the cool anomaly that kept yesterday’s high at just 13°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 17–19°C from DWD long-term normals. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, with resolution hinging on the official Deutscher Wetterdienst reading at Munich Airport; any late-day clearing or stronger southerly advection could still nudge the peak toward 18°C, though current guidance assigns that outcome low probability.