National Weather Service ensemble guidance and recent GFS-ECMWF model runs indicate a daytime high near 77°F for New York City on May 16 under a building high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and light southerly flow. This meteorological pattern supports the market-implied 99.6% probability for a 76-77°F peak, consistent with mid-May climatological averages and without conditions favoring stronger warming. Official observations at LaGuardia Airport will determine final resolution. Minor upward revisions remain possible from localized urban heat island effects or subtle steering changes, though model consensus shows limited spread around this narrow range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 99.6%
80-81°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$175,813 Vol.
$175,813 Vol.
16 may 2026
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 99.6%
80-81°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$175,813 Vol.
$175,813 Vol.
16 may 2026
76-77°F
$43,297 Vol.
100%
78-79°F
$26,728 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$27,229 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$22,880 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$16,863 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble guidance and recent GFS-ECMWF model runs indicate a daytime high near 77°F for New York City on May 16 under a building high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and light southerly flow. This meteorological pattern supports the market-implied 99.6% probability for a 76-77°F peak, consistent with mid-May climatological averages and without conditions favoring stronger warming. Official observations at LaGuardia Airport will determine final resolution. Minor upward revisions remain possible from localized urban heat island effects or subtle steering changes, though model consensus shows limited spread around this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$175,813Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble guidance and recent GFS-ECMWF model runs indicate a daytime high near 77°F for New York City on May 16 under a building high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and light southerly flow. This meteorological pattern supports the market-implied 99.6% probability for a 76-77°F peak, consistent with mid-May climatological averages and without conditions favoring stronger warming. Official observations at LaGuardia Airport will determine final resolution. Minor upward revisions remain possible from localized urban heat island effects or subtle steering changes, though model consensus shows limited spread around this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$175,813Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service ensemble guidance and recent GFS-ECMWF model runs indicate a daytime high near 77°F for New York City on May 16 under a building high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and light southerly flow. This meteorological pattern supports the market-implied 99.6% probability for a 76-77°F peak, consistent with mid-May climatological averages and without conditions favoring stronger warming. Official observations at LaGuardia Airport will determine final resolution. Minor upward revisions remain possible from localized urban heat island effects or subtle steering changes, though model consensus shows limited spread around this narrow range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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