Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daytime high of 86–88°F in New York City today under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, anchoring trader consensus near the 86–89°F range. Warm-air advection ahead of a slow-moving ridge has lifted temperatures 8–10°F above seasonal normals, while limited afternoon mixing and modest cloud cover are capping the upper end of the distribution. Historical May extremes for Central Park average 78°F, but recent clear nights and building surface heating have shifted probabilities toward the mid-to-upper 80s; any unexpected increase in insolation or delayed sea-breeze onset could push readings into the low 90s before official observation closes at midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 17 de mayo?
86-87°F 40%
88-89°F 32%
84-85°F 21%
90-91°F 6.5%
$56,706 Vol.
$56,706 Vol.
17 may 2026
79°F o menos
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F o más
<1%
86-87°F 40%
88-89°F 32%
84-85°F 21%
90-91°F 6.5%
$56,706 Vol.
$56,706 Vol.
17 may 2026
79°F o menos
$9,576 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$6,899 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$5,818 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$5,718 Vol.
21%
86-87°F
$6,250 Vol.
40%
88-89°F
$3,512 Vol.
32%
90-91°F
$5,003 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$3,655 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$3,687 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$3,577 Vol.
<1%
98°F o más
$3,060 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daytime high of 86–88°F in New York City today under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, anchoring trader consensus near the 86–89°F range. Warm-air advection ahead of a slow-moving ridge has lifted temperatures 8–10°F above seasonal normals, while limited afternoon mixing and modest cloud cover are capping the upper end of the distribution. Historical May extremes for Central Park average 78°F, but recent clear nights and building surface heating have shifted probabilities toward the mid-to-upper 80s; any unexpected increase in insolation or delayed sea-breeze onset could push readings into the low 90s before official observation closes at midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$56,706Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daytime high of 86–88°F in New York City today under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, anchoring trader consensus near the 86–89°F range. Warm-air advection ahead of a slow-moving ridge has lifted temperatures 8–10°F above seasonal normals, while limited afternoon mixing and modest cloud cover are capping the upper end of the distribution. Historical May extremes for Central Park average 78°F, but recent clear nights and building surface heating have shifted probabilities toward the mid-to-upper 80s; any unexpected increase in insolation or delayed sea-breeze onset could push readings into the low 90s before official observation closes at midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$56,706Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGALatest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daytime high of 86–88°F in New York City today under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, anchoring trader consensus near the 86–89°F range. Warm-air advection ahead of a slow-moving ridge has lifted temperatures 8–10°F above seasonal normals, while limited afternoon mixing and modest cloud cover are capping the upper end of the distribution. Historical May extremes for Central Park average 78°F, but recent clear nights and building surface heating have shifted probabilities toward the mid-to-upper 80s; any unexpected increase in insolation or delayed sea-breeze onset could push readings into the low 90s before official observation closes at midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes