Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and models like GFS indicate New York City will reach a daily high in the mid to upper 80s today at LaGuardia Airport, driven by southerly winds and building high pressure that favor daytime warming above seasonal averages near 72°F. This positioning keeps the 86-87°F and 88-89°F brackets as the clearest market leaders at 44% and 30.5% implied probability, while the 84-85°F range holds secondary support at 21%. Any late-day cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap the peak and shift odds toward lower brackets, though recent model runs show limited disagreement on this outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 17 de mayo?
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 20%
90-91°F 7.5%
$64,618 Vol.
$64,618 Vol.
17 may 2026
79°F o menos
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
44%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F o más
<1%
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 20%
90-91°F 7.5%
$64,618 Vol.
$64,618 Vol.
17 may 2026
79°F o menos
$9,591 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$7,065 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$7,793 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$7,025 Vol.
20%
86-87°F
$6,951 Vol.
44%
88-89°F
$4,265 Vol.
30%
90-91°F
$6,638 Vol.
8%
92-93°F
$4,957 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$3,927 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$3,739 Vol.
<1%
98°F o más
$3,141 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and models like GFS indicate New York City will reach a daily high in the mid to upper 80s today at LaGuardia Airport, driven by southerly winds and building high pressure that favor daytime warming above seasonal averages near 72°F. This positioning keeps the 86-87°F and 88-89°F brackets as the clearest market leaders at 44% and 30.5% implied probability, while the 84-85°F range holds secondary support at 21%. Any late-day cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap the peak and shift odds toward lower brackets, though recent model runs show limited disagreement on this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$64,618Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and models like GFS indicate New York City will reach a daily high in the mid to upper 80s today at LaGuardia Airport, driven by southerly winds and building high pressure that favor daytime warming above seasonal averages near 72°F. This positioning keeps the 86-87°F and 88-89°F brackets as the clearest market leaders at 44% and 30.5% implied probability, while the 84-85°F range holds secondary support at 21%. Any late-day cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap the peak and shift odds toward lower brackets, though recent model runs show limited disagreement on this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$64,618Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGACurrent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models like GFS indicate New York City will reach a daily high in the mid to upper 80s today at LaGuardia Airport, driven by southerly winds and building high pressure that favor daytime warming above seasonal averages near 72°F. This positioning keeps the 86-87°F and 88-89°F brackets as the clearest market leaders at 44% and 30.5% implied probability, while the 84-85°F range holds secondary support at 21%. Any late-day cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap the peak and shift odds toward lower brackets, though recent model runs show limited disagreement on this outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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