Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 76°F for San Francisco on May 17 amid a regional heat wave pushing temperatures 25–30°F above seasonal norms across the West Coast. This pattern features clear skies and reduced marine-layer influence, allowing warmer air to reach the city and positioning the market-implied probability for 68°F or higher at 67.5%. Typical May highs average around 67°F at KSFO, with the current setup deviating from climatological baselines due to elevated pressure and offshore flow. Traders are weighting the consensus model runs showing peak afternoon readings in the mid-70s, though minor forecast adjustments could still shift outcomes within the 66–67°F bin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 17 de mayo?
68°F or higher 78%
66-67°F 27%
64-65°F 6.0%
49°F or below <1%
$22,175 Vol.
$22,175 Vol.
17 may 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
25%
68°F or higher
73%
68°F or higher 78%
66-67°F 27%
64-65°F 6.0%
49°F or below <1%
$22,175 Vol.
$22,175 Vol.
17 may 2026
49°F or below
$894 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,552 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$555 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$608 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$3,452 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,032 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,112 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$2,817 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$4,269 Vol.
6%
66-67°F
$2,535 Vol.
25%
68°F or higher
$2,420 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 76°F for San Francisco on May 17 amid a regional heat wave pushing temperatures 25–30°F above seasonal norms across the West Coast. This pattern features clear skies and reduced marine-layer influence, allowing warmer air to reach the city and positioning the market-implied probability for 68°F or higher at 67.5%. Typical May highs average around 67°F at KSFO, with the current setup deviating from climatological baselines due to elevated pressure and offshore flow. Traders are weighting the consensus model runs showing peak afternoon readings in the mid-70s, though minor forecast adjustments could still shift outcomes within the 66–67°F bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$22,175Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 76°F for San Francisco on May 17 amid a regional heat wave pushing temperatures 25–30°F above seasonal norms across the West Coast. This pattern features clear skies and reduced marine-layer influence, allowing warmer air to reach the city and positioning the market-implied probability for 68°F or higher at 67.5%. Typical May highs average around 67°F at KSFO, with the current setup deviating from climatological baselines due to elevated pressure and offshore flow. Traders are weighting the consensus model runs showing peak afternoon readings in the mid-70s, though minor forecast adjustments could still shift outcomes within the 66–67°F bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,175Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFORecent National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 76°F for San Francisco on May 17 amid a regional heat wave pushing temperatures 25–30°F above seasonal norms across the West Coast. This pattern features clear skies and reduced marine-layer influence, allowing warmer air to reach the city and positioning the market-implied probability for 68°F or higher at 67.5%. Typical May highs average around 67°F at KSFO, with the current setup deviating from climatological baselines due to elevated pressure and offshore flow. Traders are weighting the consensus model runs showing peak afternoon readings in the mid-70s, though minor forecast adjustments could still shift outcomes within the 66–67°F bin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes