Trader consensus overwhelmingly positions 22°C as the highest temperature recorded in São Paulo today, driven by mid-autumn atmospheric subsidence, light easterly winds, and moderate cloud cover that limit solar heating under current conditions tracked by Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology. Seasonal norms for May show average daily maxima near 22–23°C, with official station data and short-range model runs aligning closely on this threshold without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. Traders view the slim odds on 23°C or higher as reflecting realistic but low-probability scenarios such as brief clear-sky intervals boosting insolation or minor measurement revisions at urban stations. Fresh observational updates from the network later today could confirm or shift the final recorded peak before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 17 de mayo?
22°C 99.4%
23°C or higher <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$59,990 Vol.
$59,990 Vol.
17 may 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
99%
23°C or higher
1%
22°C 99.4%
23°C or higher <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$59,990 Vol.
$59,990 Vol.
17 may 2026
13°C or below
$2,459 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$710 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,223 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,471 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,226 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,599 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,217 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$7,983 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$14,140 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$12,677 Vol.
99%
23°C or higher
$12,389 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly positions 22°C as the highest temperature recorded in São Paulo today, driven by mid-autumn atmospheric subsidence, light easterly winds, and moderate cloud cover that limit solar heating under current conditions tracked by Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology. Seasonal norms for May show average daily maxima near 22–23°C, with official station data and short-range model runs aligning closely on this threshold without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. Traders view the slim odds on 23°C or higher as reflecting realistic but low-probability scenarios such as brief clear-sky intervals boosting insolation or minor measurement revisions at urban stations. Fresh observational updates from the network later today could confirm or shift the final recorded peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$59,990Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly positions 22°C as the highest temperature recorded in São Paulo today, driven by mid-autumn atmospheric subsidence, light easterly winds, and moderate cloud cover that limit solar heating under current conditions tracked by Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology. Seasonal norms for May show average daily maxima near 22–23°C, with official station data and short-range model runs aligning closely on this threshold without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. Traders view the slim odds on 23°C or higher as reflecting realistic but low-probability scenarios such as brief clear-sky intervals boosting insolation or minor measurement revisions at urban stations. Fresh observational updates from the network later today could confirm or shift the final recorded peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$59,990Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRTrader consensus overwhelmingly positions 22°C as the highest temperature recorded in São Paulo today, driven by mid-autumn atmospheric subsidence, light easterly winds, and moderate cloud cover that limit solar heating under current conditions tracked by Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology. Seasonal norms for May show average daily maxima near 22–23°C, with official station data and short-range model runs aligning closely on this threshold without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. Traders view the slim odds on 23°C or higher as reflecting realistic but low-probability scenarios such as brief clear-sky intervals boosting insolation or minor measurement revisions at urban stations. Fresh observational updates from the network later today could confirm or shift the final recorded peak before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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