Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for Shanghai on May 17, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder maritime air. This atmospheric setup has kept cloud cover minimal and allowed surface heating to reach the upper end of mid-May climatological norms around 25°C. Traders have priced the 27°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability because official observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport are expected to align closely with these model runs. A modest shift in wind direction or increased moisture could still push the peak one degree either way before sunset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 17 de mayo?
27°C 99.9%
21°C o menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$135,928 Vol.
$135,928 Vol.
17 may 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
27°C 99.9%
21°C o menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$135,928 Vol.
$135,928 Vol.
17 may 2026
21°C o menos
$2,126 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,104 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$7,382 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,506 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$18,566 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$18,074 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$27,829 Vol.
100%
28°C
$14,151 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$14,394 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$11,963 Vol.
<1%
31°C o más
$6,838 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for Shanghai on May 17, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder maritime air. This atmospheric setup has kept cloud cover minimal and allowed surface heating to reach the upper end of mid-May climatological norms around 25°C. Traders have priced the 27°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability because official observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport are expected to align closely with these model runs. A modest shift in wind direction or increased moisture could still push the peak one degree either way before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$135,928Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for Shanghai on May 17, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder maritime air. This atmospheric setup has kept cloud cover minimal and allowed surface heating to reach the upper end of mid-May climatological norms around 25°C. Traders have priced the 27°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability because official observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport are expected to align closely with these model runs. A modest shift in wind direction or increased moisture could still push the peak one degree either way before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$135,928Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDEnsemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for Shanghai on May 17, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder maritime air. This atmospheric setup has kept cloud cover minimal and allowed surface heating to reach the upper end of mid-May climatological norms around 25°C. Traders have priced the 27°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability because official observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport are expected to align closely with these model runs. A modest shift in wind direction or increased moisture could still push the peak one degree either way before sunset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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