Recent weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a maximum temperature of 27°C for Shenzhen today, anchoring the overwhelming market-implied odds for that outcome. This reflects typical subtropical spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers moderating daytime heating near seasonal norms of 26–28°C. Official observations from Bao’an International Airport will determine final resolution, though minor urban heat island variations or brief forecast adjustments could still shift the recorded high by 1°C. Traders weighting real capital on verified data have rapidly priced in this strong alignment between models and current conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 17 de mayo?
27°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$47,605 Vol.
$47,605 Vol.
17 may 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$47,605 Vol.
$47,605 Vol.
17 may 2026
21°C or below
$1,761 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,788 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,875 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,998 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,854 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,461 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$9,752 Vol.
100%
28°C
$5,034 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,762 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,279 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$5,040 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a maximum temperature of 27°C for Shenzhen today, anchoring the overwhelming market-implied odds for that outcome. This reflects typical subtropical spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers moderating daytime heating near seasonal norms of 26–28°C. Official observations from Bao’an International Airport will determine final resolution, though minor urban heat island variations or brief forecast adjustments could still shift the recorded high by 1°C. Traders weighting real capital on verified data have rapidly priced in this strong alignment between models and current conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$47,605Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a maximum temperature of 27°C for Shenzhen today, anchoring the overwhelming market-implied odds for that outcome. This reflects typical subtropical spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers moderating daytime heating near seasonal norms of 26–28°C. Official observations from Bao’an International Airport will determine final resolution, though minor urban heat island variations or brief forecast adjustments could still shift the recorded high by 1°C. Traders weighting real capital on verified data have rapidly priced in this strong alignment between models and current conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$47,605Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZRecent weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a maximum temperature of 27°C for Shenzhen today, anchoring the overwhelming market-implied odds for that outcome. This reflects typical subtropical spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers moderating daytime heating near seasonal norms of 26–28°C. Official observations from Bao’an International Airport will determine final resolution, though minor urban heat island variations or brief forecast adjustments could still shift the recorded high by 1°C. Traders weighting real capital on verified data have rapidly priced in this strong alignment between models and current conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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