The market's decisive 100% implied probability for a 32°C daily maximum in Singapore on May 17 stems from official National Environment Agency forecasts projecting that exact peak under prevailing inter-monsoon conditions. May ranks as Singapore's warmest month climatologically, with historical average highs near 32°C driven by light winds, high humidity, and afternoon convective activity. Recent observations show maxima consistently between 32°C and 35°C, aligning with model consensus for today. Minor variations in cloud cover or thundery shower timing could shift the recorded high by 1–2°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such deviations unlikely before the final official measurement is confirmed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Singapur el 17 de mayo?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$94,721 Vol.
$94,721 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$94,721 Vol.
$94,721 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSThe market's decisive 100% implied probability for a 32°C daily maximum in Singapore on May 17 stems from official National Environment Agency forecasts projecting that exact peak under prevailing inter-monsoon conditions. May ranks as Singapore's warmest month climatologically, with historical average highs near 32°C driven by light winds, high humidity, and afternoon convective activity. Recent observations show maxima consistently between 32°C and 35°C, aligning with model consensus for today. Minor variations in cloud cover or thundery shower timing could shift the recorded high by 1–2°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such deviations unlikely before the final official measurement is confirmed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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