Current surface observations from Taipei's official meteorological stations confirm the daily maximum temperature has reached 31°C, anchoring the market's near-certain implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with late-spring climatology in northern Taiwan, where urban heat-island effects and southerly flow typically produce afternoon peaks in this range under stable atmospheric conditions. With the observation window closing and minimal model divergence in remaining hours, trader consensus reflects the established data trend. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen sharp cooling episode or post-hoc revision from the primary reporting station, though current conditions render such adjustments improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Taipéi el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Taipéi el 17 de mayo?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,647 Vol.
$111,647 Vol.
17 may 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,647 Vol.
$111,647 Vol.
17 may 2026
23°C or below
$1,818 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,853 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,227 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,535 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,351 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,753 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,850 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$60,918 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$8,881 Vol.
100%
32°C
$8,046 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$11,416 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current surface observations from Taipei's official meteorological stations confirm the daily maximum temperature has reached 31°C, anchoring the market's near-certain implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with late-spring climatology in northern Taiwan, where urban heat-island effects and southerly flow typically produce afternoon peaks in this range under stable atmospheric conditions. With the observation window closing and minimal model divergence in remaining hours, trader consensus reflects the established data trend. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen sharp cooling episode or post-hoc revision from the primary reporting station, though current conditions render such adjustments improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$111,647Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current surface observations from Taipei's official meteorological stations confirm the daily maximum temperature has reached 31°C, anchoring the market's near-certain implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with late-spring climatology in northern Taiwan, where urban heat-island effects and southerly flow typically produce afternoon peaks in this range under stable atmospheric conditions. With the observation window closing and minimal model divergence in remaining hours, trader consensus reflects the established data trend. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen sharp cooling episode or post-hoc revision from the primary reporting station, though current conditions render such adjustments improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$111,647Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSCurrent surface observations from Taipei's official meteorological stations confirm the daily maximum temperature has reached 31°C, anchoring the market's near-certain implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with late-spring climatology in northern Taiwan, where urban heat-island effects and southerly flow typically produce afternoon peaks in this range under stable atmospheric conditions. With the observation window closing and minimal model divergence in remaining hours, trader consensus reflects the established data trend. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen sharp cooling episode or post-hoc revision from the primary reporting station, though current conditions render such adjustments improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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