Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for ¿Cuántos escaños ganará New People (NL) en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?
Política·Rusia

¿Cuántos escaños ganará New People (NL) en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?

icon for ¿Cuántos escaños ganará New People (NL) en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?
Política·Rusia

¿Cuántos escaños ganará New People (NL) en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?

<35 41%

55–64 27%

65–74 27%

35–44 26%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<35 41%

55–64 27%

65–74 27%

35–44 26%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<35

$1 Vol.

41%

35–44

$0 Vol.

26%

45–54

$0 Vol.

25%

55–64

$1 Vol.

27%

65–74

$0 Vol.

27%

75–84

$100 Vol.

12%

85+

$20 Vol.

16%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People (NL) enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding 15 seats and seeking expansion via its approved federal list of 299 candidates plus 83 single-mandate nominees. Recent VCIOM and FOM polling places the party between roughly 8% and 15%, positioning it competitively among systemic opposition groups but behind United Russia and often close to CPRF and LDPR. Trader consensus across seat brackets remains tight because regional organizational capacity lags behind established rivals, single-mandate outcomes are variable under the mixed electoral system, and administrative factors in a managed multi-party framework can influence final seat allocation. Late-campaign polling shifts, turnout patterns among urban and younger voters, or adjustments in single-mandate contests could widen separation among the leading ranges.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$123
Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People (NL) enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding 15 seats and seeking expansion via its approved federal list of 299 candidates plus 83 single-mandate nominees. Recent VCIOM and FOM polling places the party between roughly 8% and 15%, positioning it competitively among systemic opposition groups but behind United Russia and often close to CPRF and LDPR. Trader consensus across seat brackets remains tight because regional organizational capacity lags behind established rivals, single-mandate outcomes are variable under the mixed electoral system, and administrative factors in a managed multi-party framework can influence final seat allocation. Late-campaign polling shifts, turnout patterns among urban and younger voters, or adjustments in single-mandate contests could widen separation among the leading ranges.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$123
Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Relacionado

icon for ¿Ganará Rusia Unida entre 325 y 339 escaños en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia?

¿Ganará Rusia Unida entre 325 y 339 escaños en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia?

37%
Sí
icon for ¿Ganará el Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) entre 65 y 74 escaños en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal rusa?

¿Ganará el Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) entre 65 y 74 escaños en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal rusa?

42%
Sí
icon for ¿Conseguirá Rodina al menos un escaño en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia?

¿Conseguirá Rodina al menos un escaño en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia?

55%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuántos escaños ganará New People (NL) en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<35" con 41%, seguido de "55–64" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 41¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Cuántos escaños ganará New People (NL) en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 1, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Cuántos escaños ganará New People (NL) en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuántos escaños ganará New People (NL) en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?" es "<35" con 41%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "55–64" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuántos escaños ganará New People (NL) en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.