Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the left-wing slate led by Yair Golan and formed from Labor and Meretz, at roughly 8-10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election. Trader consensus around the 8-9 and sub-8 ranges reflects this narrow band amid broader fragmentation, with the Netanyahu-aligned bloc and centrist opposition lists such as Yashar and Together trading places near the top of surveys. Surplus-vote agreements, including the one with Yashar, and the 3.25% electoral threshold add variability, as small swings in turnout or undecided voters can shift final allocations. Upcoming Central Elections Committee rulings on candidate lists and continued bloc negotiations remain key variables that could widen or narrow the outcome range before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado8-9 27%
<8 24%
10-11 22%
12-13 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<8
24%
8-9
27%
10-11
17%
12-13
9%
14+
5%
8-9 27%
<8 24%
10-11 22%
12-13 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<8
$1,174 Vol.
24%
8-9
$253 Vol.
27%
10-11
$242 Vol.
17%
12-13
$187 Vol.
9%
14+
$155 Vol.
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the left-wing slate led by Yair Golan and formed from Labor and Meretz, at roughly 8-10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election. Trader consensus around the 8-9 and sub-8 ranges reflects this narrow band amid broader fragmentation, with the Netanyahu-aligned bloc and centrist opposition lists such as Yashar and Together trading places near the top of surveys. Surplus-vote agreements, including the one with Yashar, and the 3.25% electoral threshold add variability, as small swings in turnout or undecided voters can shift final allocations. Upcoming Central Elections Committee rulings on candidate lists and continued bloc negotiations remain key variables that could widen or narrow the outcome range before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volumen
$2,011Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the left-wing slate led by Yair Golan and formed from Labor and Meretz, at roughly 8-10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election. Trader consensus around the 8-9 and sub-8 ranges reflects this narrow band amid broader fragmentation, with the Netanyahu-aligned bloc and centrist opposition lists such as Yashar and Together trading places near the top of surveys. Surplus-vote agreements, including the one with Yashar, and the 3.25% electoral threshold add variability, as small swings in turnout or undecided voters can shift final allocations. Upcoming Central Elections Committee rulings on candidate lists and continued bloc negotiations remain key variables that could widen or narrow the outcome range before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$2,011Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the left-wing slate led by Yair Golan and formed from Labor and Meretz, at roughly 8-10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election. Trader consensus around the 8-9 and sub-8 ranges reflects this narrow band amid broader fragmentation, with the Netanyahu-aligned bloc and centrist opposition lists such as Yashar and Together trading places near the top of surveys. Surplus-vote agreements, including the one with Yashar, and the 3.25% electoral threshold add variability, as small swings in turnout or undecided voters can shift final allocations. Upcoming Central Elections Committee rulings on candidate lists and continued bloc negotiations remain key variables that could widen or narrow the outcome range before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes