Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in the Likud primary for Knesset candidate slots, reflecting consistent polling among registered party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. Recent internal surveys show him topping preferences for the national list, supported by his role as Knesset Speaker and visibility in party structures ahead of the August 17 voting window. Netanyahu’s expanded reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions, yet this has not shifted the frontrunner status in member surveys. Lower-priced outcomes such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Boaz Bismuth align with their secondary standing in the same polls, while the slim probability assigned to no primary reflects the confirmed schedule despite ongoing procedural disputes. Traders appear to price in these member-driven dynamics and the single-day vote as the decisive factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAmir Ohana 81%
Tally Gotliv 6.0%
Yariv Levin 5.9%
Eli Cohen 5.1%
$60,775 Vol.
$60,775 Vol.
26 oct 2026
Amir Ohana
81%
Tally Gotliv
6%
Yariv Levin
6%
Eli Cohen
5%
Sin primarias antes de las elecciones a la Knéset
2%
Boaz Bismuth
1%
Miri Regev
1%
Shlomo Karhi
1%
Israel Katz
1%
Moshe Saada
1%
David Amsalem
1%
Almog Cohen
1%
Amichai Chikli
1%
Nir Barkat
<1%
Yoav Kisch
<1%
Miki Zohar
<1%
David Bitan
<1%
Amir Ohana 81%
Tally Gotliv 6.0%
Yariv Levin 5.9%
Eli Cohen 5.1%
$60,775 Vol.
$60,775 Vol.
26 oct 2026
Amir Ohana
$19,298 Vol.
81%
Tally Gotliv
$13,081 Vol.
6%
Yariv Levin
$3,909 Vol.
6%
Eli Cohen
$1,556 Vol.
5%
Sin primarias antes de las elecciones a la Knéset
$9,710 Vol.
2%
Boaz Bismuth
$1,287 Vol.
1%
Miri Regev
$655 Vol.
1%
Shlomo Karhi
$1,016 Vol.
1%
Israel Katz
$2,245 Vol.
1%
Moshe Saada
$882 Vol.
1%
David Amsalem
$832 Vol.
1%
Almog Cohen
$909 Vol.
1%
Amichai Chikli
$910 Vol.
1%
Nir Barkat
$2,180 Vol.
<1%
Yoav Kisch
$841 Vol.
<1%
Miki Zohar
$667 Vol.
<1%
David Bitan
$800 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in the Likud primary for Knesset candidate slots, reflecting consistent polling among registered party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. Recent internal surveys show him topping preferences for the national list, supported by his role as Knesset Speaker and visibility in party structures ahead of the August 17 voting window. Netanyahu’s expanded reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions, yet this has not shifted the frontrunner status in member surveys. Lower-priced outcomes such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Boaz Bismuth align with their secondary standing in the same polls, while the slim probability assigned to no primary reflects the confirmed schedule despite ongoing procedural disputes. Traders appear to price in these member-driven dynamics and the single-day vote as the decisive factors.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Mercado abierto: Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Volumen
$60,775Fecha de finalización
26 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in the Likud primary for Knesset candidate slots, reflecting consistent polling among registered party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. Recent internal surveys show him topping preferences for the national list, supported by his role as Knesset Speaker and visibility in party structures ahead of the August 17 voting window. Netanyahu’s expanded reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions, yet this has not shifted the frontrunner status in member surveys. Lower-priced outcomes such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Boaz Bismuth align with their secondary standing in the same polls, while the slim probability assigned to no primary reflects the confirmed schedule despite ongoing procedural disputes. Traders appear to price in these member-driven dynamics and the single-day vote as the decisive factors.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Volumen
$60,775Fecha de finalización
26 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in the Likud primary for Knesset candidate slots, reflecting consistent polling among registered party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. Recent internal surveys show him topping preferences for the national list, supported by his role as Knesset Speaker and visibility in party structures ahead of the August 17 voting window. Netanyahu’s expanded reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions, yet this has not shifted the frontrunner status in member surveys. Lower-priced outcomes such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Boaz Bismuth align with their secondary standing in the same polls, while the slim probability assigned to no primary reflects the confirmed schedule despite ongoing procedural disputes. Traders appear to price in these member-driven dynamics and the single-day vote as the decisive factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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