**Forecast models point to an overnight minimum in Cape Town on 30 August 2026 clustered between roughly 7–12 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow following Saturday’s cold-front passage.** Clear conditions favor strong radiational cooling after sunset, while southerly winds and dew points near 6–9 °C limit how far temperatures can fall. Official guidance varies: some runs (including Met Office) show a 7 °C low, others 9–12 °C, reflecting small differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing. These narrow spreads explain why market-implied probabilities sit almost evenly across 7–10 °C. The final recorded minimum will depend on exact timing of any residual cloud or wind shift before dawn, with little chance of dropping to 6 °C or below given current moisture and wind fields.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ciudad del Cabo el 30 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ciudad del Cabo el 30 de agosto?
9°C 27%
10°C 27%
8°C 26%
7°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
9°C 27%
10°C 27%
8°C 26%
7°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
6°C or below
$140 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$15 Vol.
26%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$131 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models point to an overnight minimum in Cape Town on 30 August 2026 clustered between roughly 7–12 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow following Saturday’s cold-front passage.** Clear conditions favor strong radiational cooling after sunset, while southerly winds and dew points near 6–9 °C limit how far temperatures can fall. Official guidance varies: some runs (including Met Office) show a 7 °C low, others 9–12 °C, reflecting small differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing. These narrow spreads explain why market-implied probabilities sit almost evenly across 7–10 °C. The final recorded minimum will depend on exact timing of any residual cloud or wind shift before dawn, with little chance of dropping to 6 °C or below given current moisture and wind fields.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$1,022Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models point to an overnight minimum in Cape Town on 30 August 2026 clustered between roughly 7–12 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow following Saturday’s cold-front passage.** Clear conditions favor strong radiational cooling after sunset, while southerly winds and dew points near 6–9 °C limit how far temperatures can fall. Official guidance varies: some runs (including Met Office) show a 7 °C low, others 9–12 °C, reflecting small differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing. These narrow spreads explain why market-implied probabilities sit almost evenly across 7–10 °C. The final recorded minimum will depend on exact timing of any residual cloud or wind shift before dawn, with little chance of dropping to 6 °C or below given current moisture and wind fields.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,022Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models point to an overnight minimum in Cape Town on 30 August 2026 clustered between roughly 7–12 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow following Saturday’s cold-front passage.** Clear conditions favor strong radiational cooling after sunset, while southerly winds and dew points near 6–9 °C limit how far temperatures can fall. Official guidance varies: some runs (including Met Office) show a 7 °C low, others 9–12 °C, reflecting small differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing. These narrow spreads explain why market-implied probabilities sit almost evenly across 7–10 °C. The final recorded minimum will depend on exact timing of any residual cloud or wind shift before dawn, with little chance of dropping to 6 °C or below given current moisture and wind fields.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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