Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum around 9–11°C for Cape Town overnight into September 1, driven by clear skies under high pressure favoring radiative cooling alongside moderate southerly winds limiting extreme drops. Historical August lows average near 8–10°C, with this season showing variability including early-month readings as low as 5.3°C, yet recent days trending milder. Model consensus points to stable conditions with limited overnight wind shear or frontal activity that could produce sharper cooling. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied odds for 5°C or below, appears anchored in recognition of winter radiative potential and forecast spread, while probabilities cluster around 8–10°C outcomes align with baseline climatology and the short two-day lead time before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Ciudad del Cabo el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Ciudad del Cabo el 31 de agosto?
5°C or below 87%
6°C 49%
11°C 49%
8°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
5°C or below
87%
6°C
49%
7°C
26%
8°C
28%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
49%
12°C
2%
13°C
9%
14°C
9%
15°C or higher
2%
5°C or below 87%
6°C 49%
11°C 49%
8°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
5°C or below
$0 Vol.
87%
6°C
$0 Vol.
49%
7°C
$0 Vol.
26%
8°C
$0 Vol.
28%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
2%
13°C
$0 Vol.
9%
14°C
$0 Vol.
9%
15°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum around 9–11°C for Cape Town overnight into September 1, driven by clear skies under high pressure favoring radiative cooling alongside moderate southerly winds limiting extreme drops. Historical August lows average near 8–10°C, with this season showing variability including early-month readings as low as 5.3°C, yet recent days trending milder. Model consensus points to stable conditions with limited overnight wind shear or frontal activity that could produce sharper cooling. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied odds for 5°C or below, appears anchored in recognition of winter radiative potential and forecast spread, while probabilities cluster around 8–10°C outcomes align with baseline climatology and the short two-day lead time before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum around 9–11°C for Cape Town overnight into September 1, driven by clear skies under high pressure favoring radiative cooling alongside moderate southerly winds limiting extreme drops. Historical August lows average near 8–10°C, with this season showing variability including early-month readings as low as 5.3°C, yet recent days trending milder. Model consensus points to stable conditions with limited overnight wind shear or frontal activity that could produce sharper cooling. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied odds for 5°C or below, appears anchored in recognition of winter radiative potential and forecast spread, while probabilities cluster around 8–10°C outcomes align with baseline climatology and the short two-day lead time before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum around 9–11°C for Cape Town overnight into September 1, driven by clear skies under high pressure favoring radiative cooling alongside moderate southerly winds limiting extreme drops. Historical August lows average near 8–10°C, with this season showing variability including early-month readings as low as 5.3°C, yet recent days trending milder. Model consensus points to stable conditions with limited overnight wind shear or frontal activity that could produce sharper cooling. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied odds for 5°C or below, appears anchored in recognition of winter radiative potential and forecast spread, while probabilities cluster around 8–10°C outcomes align with baseline climatology and the short two-day lead time before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes