Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position 11°C as the most probable overnight minimum in London on May 17, citing a mild southwesterly Atlantic airflow that curbs radiative cooling beneath variable cloud cover. This setup typically yields lows between 9°C and 11°C, with the latest model runs clustering near the upper end due to limited clear-sky conditions overnight. Traders interpret these official guidance updates as reducing the likelihood of deeper cooling to 10°C or below, elevating the 11°C outcome to 85% implied probability while assigning only modest chances to colder thresholds. Continued monitoring of afternoon observations and final model adjustments will clarify whether any brief clearing alters the expected range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 17 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 17 de mayo?
11°C 85%
10°C 11%
9°C <1%
8°C <1%
$8,702 Vol.
$8,702 Vol.
17 may 2026
2°C o menos
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
11%
11°C
85%
12°C o más
<1%
11°C 85%
10°C 11%
9°C <1%
8°C <1%
$8,702 Vol.
$8,702 Vol.
17 may 2026
2°C o menos
$343 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$526 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$905 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$466 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$633 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$460 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,622 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$692 Vol.
1%
10°C
$289 Vol.
11%
11°C
$383 Vol.
85%
12°C o más
$2,390 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position 11°C as the most probable overnight minimum in London on May 17, citing a mild southwesterly Atlantic airflow that curbs radiative cooling beneath variable cloud cover. This setup typically yields lows between 9°C and 11°C, with the latest model runs clustering near the upper end due to limited clear-sky conditions overnight. Traders interpret these official guidance updates as reducing the likelihood of deeper cooling to 10°C or below, elevating the 11°C outcome to 85% implied probability while assigning only modest chances to colder thresholds. Continued monitoring of afternoon observations and final model adjustments will clarify whether any brief clearing alters the expected range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volumen
$8,702Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position 11°C as the most probable overnight minimum in London on May 17, citing a mild southwesterly Atlantic airflow that curbs radiative cooling beneath variable cloud cover. This setup typically yields lows between 9°C and 11°C, with the latest model runs clustering near the upper end due to limited clear-sky conditions overnight. Traders interpret these official guidance updates as reducing the likelihood of deeper cooling to 10°C or below, elevating the 11°C outcome to 85% implied probability while assigning only modest chances to colder thresholds. Continued monitoring of afternoon observations and final model adjustments will clarify whether any brief clearing alters the expected range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,702Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position 11°C as the most probable overnight minimum in London on May 17, citing a mild southwesterly Atlantic airflow that curbs radiative cooling beneath variable cloud cover. This setup typically yields lows between 9°C and 11°C, with the latest model runs clustering near the upper end due to limited clear-sky conditions overnight. Traders interpret these official guidance updates as reducing the likelihood of deeper cooling to 10°C or below, elevating the 11°C outcome to 85% implied probability while assigning only modest chances to colder thresholds. Continued monitoring of afternoon observations and final model adjustments will clarify whether any brief clearing alters the expected range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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