Short-range forecast models place London's overnight minimum on May 18 in a tight 7–10 °C band, producing the closely matched market prices near 8 °C and 9 °C. Atlantic low-pressure influence and moderating southwesterly winds limit radiative cooling while patchy cloud and light showers add further variability; clearer skies could allow the low to dip toward 7 °C, whereas persistent cloud or stronger flow keeps readings nearer 9–10 °C. Ensemble spreads from the Met Office and ECMWF remain modest, with the next model runs and updated observations expected to narrow the range ahead of the 18th.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 18 de mayo?
9°C 26%
8°C 23%
10°C 15%
7°C 15%
2°C o menos
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
14%
8°C
28%
9°C
26%
10°C
15%
11°C
7%
12°C o más
5%
9°C 26%
8°C 23%
10°C 15%
7°C 15%
2°C o menos
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
14%
8°C
28%
9°C
26%
10°C
15%
11°C
7%
12°C o más
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCShort-range forecast models place London's overnight minimum on May 18 in a tight 7–10 °C band, producing the closely matched market prices near 8 °C and 9 °C. Atlantic low-pressure influence and moderating southwesterly winds limit radiative cooling while patchy cloud and light showers add further variability; clearer skies could allow the low to dip toward 7 °C, whereas persistent cloud or stronger flow keeps readings nearer 9–10 °C. Ensemble spreads from the Met Office and ECMWF remain modest, with the next model runs and updated observations expected to narrow the range ahead of the 18th.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes