The Met Office and European ensemble forecasts have converged on a minimum temperature of 7 °C for London on May 16, anchoring the market-implied probability above 99 percent. Persistent cloud cover combined with light westerly winds of 5–9 mph limits radiative cooling at the surface and restricts downward mixing within the nocturnal boundary layer, preventing the sharper temperature drops that clear, calm nights would produce. This pattern aligns with mid-May climatology, where average overnight lows range from 7 °C to 9 °C, and keeps readings well above the threshold for sub-5 °C outcomes. A rapid clearance of cloud or an unexpected shift to calmer northerly flow late tonight remains the only plausible scenario that could push the recorded low to 6 °C or lower before official verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 16 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 16 de mayo?
7°C 99.8%
4°C <1%
6°C <1%
0°C o menos <1%
$23,387 Vol.
$23,387 Vol.
16 may 2026
0°C o menos
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
100%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C o más
<1%
7°C 99.8%
4°C <1%
6°C <1%
0°C o menos <1%
$23,387 Vol.
$23,387 Vol.
16 may 2026
0°C o menos
$345 Vol.
<1%
1°C
$910 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$508 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$3,347 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$4,307 Vol.
1%
5°C
$972 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,285 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$2,265 Vol.
100%
8°C
$827 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$573 Vol.
<1%
10°C o más
$8,048 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Met Office and European ensemble forecasts have converged on a minimum temperature of 7 °C for London on May 16, anchoring the market-implied probability above 99 percent. Persistent cloud cover combined with light westerly winds of 5–9 mph limits radiative cooling at the surface and restricts downward mixing within the nocturnal boundary layer, preventing the sharper temperature drops that clear, calm nights would produce. This pattern aligns with mid-May climatology, where average overnight lows range from 7 °C to 9 °C, and keeps readings well above the threshold for sub-5 °C outcomes. A rapid clearance of cloud or an unexpected shift to calmer northerly flow late tonight remains the only plausible scenario that could push the recorded low to 6 °C or lower before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$23,387Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Met Office and European ensemble forecasts have converged on a minimum temperature of 7 °C for London on May 16, anchoring the market-implied probability above 99 percent. Persistent cloud cover combined with light westerly winds of 5–9 mph limits radiative cooling at the surface and restricts downward mixing within the nocturnal boundary layer, preventing the sharper temperature drops that clear, calm nights would produce. This pattern aligns with mid-May climatology, where average overnight lows range from 7 °C to 9 °C, and keeps readings well above the threshold for sub-5 °C outcomes. A rapid clearance of cloud or an unexpected shift to calmer northerly flow late tonight remains the only plausible scenario that could push the recorded low to 6 °C or lower before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,387Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe Met Office and European ensemble forecasts have converged on a minimum temperature of 7 °C for London on May 16, anchoring the market-implied probability above 99 percent. Persistent cloud cover combined with light westerly winds of 5–9 mph limits radiative cooling at the surface and restricts downward mixing within the nocturnal boundary layer, preventing the sharper temperature drops that clear, calm nights would produce. This pattern aligns with mid-May climatology, where average overnight lows range from 7 °C to 9 °C, and keeps readings well above the threshold for sub-5 °C outcomes. A rapid clearance of cloud or an unexpected shift to calmer northerly flow late tonight remains the only plausible scenario that could push the recorded low to 6 °C or lower before official verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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