Persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain are sustaining a warm air mass into early September, with official forecasts from agencies like AEMET showing daytime highs near 38°C and overnight lows around 18–19°C for Madrid on September 4. Light northeasterly winds and low humidity support radiational cooling after sunset, but minimal cloud cover and the lingering summer pattern limit further drops. Historical September lows average 15–17°C, yet current conditions favor values near the upper end of that range. Trader consensus remains tight between 17°C or below, 18°C, and 19°C because small forecast shifts in wind speed or boundary-layer mixing could alter the minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Madrid el 4 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Madrid el 4 de septiembre?
17°C o menos 92%
22°C 87%
23°C 86%
24°C 86%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
17°C o menos
92%
18°C
50%
19°C
45%
20°C
43%
21°C
85%
22°C
87%
23°C
86%
24°C
86%
25°C
86%
26°C
2%
27°C o más
49%
17°C o menos 92%
22°C 87%
23°C 86%
24°C 86%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
17°C o menos
$0 Vol.
92%
18°C
$0 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
45%
20°C
$0 Vol.
43%
21°C
$0 Vol.
85%
22°C
$0 Vol.
87%
23°C
$0 Vol.
86%
24°C
$0 Vol.
86%
25°C
$0 Vol.
86%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C o más
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain are sustaining a warm air mass into early September, with official forecasts from agencies like AEMET showing daytime highs near 38°C and overnight lows around 18–19°C for Madrid on September 4. Light northeasterly winds and low humidity support radiational cooling after sunset, but minimal cloud cover and the lingering summer pattern limit further drops. Historical September lows average 15–17°C, yet current conditions favor values near the upper end of that range. Trader consensus remains tight between 17°C or below, 18°C, and 19°C because small forecast shifts in wind speed or boundary-layer mixing could alter the minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain are sustaining a warm air mass into early September, with official forecasts from agencies like AEMET showing daytime highs near 38°C and overnight lows around 18–19°C for Madrid on September 4. Light northeasterly winds and low humidity support radiational cooling after sunset, but minimal cloud cover and the lingering summer pattern limit further drops. Historical September lows average 15–17°C, yet current conditions favor values near the upper end of that range. Trader consensus remains tight between 17°C or below, 18°C, and 19°C because small forecast shifts in wind speed or boundary-layer mixing could alter the minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain are sustaining a warm air mass into early September, with official forecasts from agencies like AEMET showing daytime highs near 38°C and overnight lows around 18–19°C for Madrid on September 4. Light northeasterly winds and low humidity support radiational cooling after sunset, but minimal cloud cover and the lingering summer pattern limit further drops. Historical September lows average 15–17°C, yet current conditions favor values near the upper end of that range. Trader consensus remains tight between 17°C or below, 18°C, and 19°C because small forecast shifts in wind speed or boundary-layer mixing could alter the minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes