Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble models indicate mostly clear skies and light winds over Seoul overnight, driving strong radiational cooling that supports a daily minimum of exactly 14°C. This aligns with mid-May climatology under stable high-pressure patterns, where calm conditions typically sharpen overnight temperature drops compared with average seasonal baselines. Traders have converged on this outcome at near-100% implied probability given the short lead time and consistent official guidance. The primary uncertainty remains any last-minute increase in low-level cloud cover or wind speed before dawn, which could reduce radiative heat loss and shift the recorded low to 15°C or higher when KMA stations finalize data between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 17 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 17 de mayo?
14°C 100.0%
12°C o menos <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,720 Vol.
$19,720 Vol.
17 may 2026
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o más
<1%
14°C 100.0%
12°C o menos <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,720 Vol.
$19,720 Vol.
17 may 2026
12°C o menos
$1,641 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,820 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,727 Vol.
100%
15°C
$1,073 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$888 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$850 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,719 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,090 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,283 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,818 Vol.
<1%
22°C o más
$812 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble models indicate mostly clear skies and light winds over Seoul overnight, driving strong radiational cooling that supports a daily minimum of exactly 14°C. This aligns with mid-May climatology under stable high-pressure patterns, where calm conditions typically sharpen overnight temperature drops compared with average seasonal baselines. Traders have converged on this outcome at near-100% implied probability given the short lead time and consistent official guidance. The primary uncertainty remains any last-minute increase in low-level cloud cover or wind speed before dawn, which could reduce radiative heat loss and shift the recorded low to 15°C or higher when KMA stations finalize data between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volumen
$19,720Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble models indicate mostly clear skies and light winds over Seoul overnight, driving strong radiational cooling that supports a daily minimum of exactly 14°C. This aligns with mid-May climatology under stable high-pressure patterns, where calm conditions typically sharpen overnight temperature drops compared with average seasonal baselines. Traders have converged on this outcome at near-100% implied probability given the short lead time and consistent official guidance. The primary uncertainty remains any last-minute increase in low-level cloud cover or wind speed before dawn, which could reduce radiative heat loss and shift the recorded low to 15°C or higher when KMA stations finalize data between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$19,720Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIKorea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble models indicate mostly clear skies and light winds over Seoul overnight, driving strong radiational cooling that supports a daily minimum of exactly 14°C. This aligns with mid-May climatology under stable high-pressure patterns, where calm conditions typically sharpen overnight temperature drops compared with average seasonal baselines. Traders have converged on this outcome at near-100% implied probability given the short lead time and consistent official guidance. The primary uncertainty remains any last-minute increase in low-level cloud cover or wind speed before dawn, which could reduce radiative heat loss and shift the recorded low to 15°C or higher when KMA stations finalize data between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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