Cleitinho Azevedo holds the leading position in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race due to consistent first-round polling leads of 28-37 percent across recent surveys, including Genial/Quaest and Doxa releases from April and May 2026. His strength stems from consolidated conservative and evangelical voter support combined with low rejection rates and favorable hypothetical runoff matchups. Rodrigo Pacheco trails amid ongoing party alignment uncertainties after his PSB affiliation and limited recent polling traction around 6-12 percent. Other contenders such as Alexandre Kalil, Mateus Simões, and Aécio Neves face fragmented backing that restricts consolidation ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the multi-candidate field’s impact on vote distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMinas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho Azevedo 46%
Rodrigo Pacheco 23%
Mateus Simões 7.5%
Alexandre Kalil 7.0%
$24,035 Vol.
$24,035 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
46%
Rodrigo Pacheco
23%
Mateus Simões
8%
Alexandre Kalil
7%
Alexandre Silveira
6%
Nikolas Ferreira
3%
Aécio Neves
8%
Benoni Mendes
2%
Tadeu Leite
11%
Gabriel Azevedo
1%
Cleitinho Azevedo 46%
Rodrigo Pacheco 23%
Mateus Simões 7.5%
Alexandre Kalil 7.0%
$24,035 Vol.
$24,035 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
$7,154 Vol.
46%
Rodrigo Pacheco
$6,765 Vol.
23%
Mateus Simões
$860 Vol.
8%
Alexandre Kalil
$813 Vol.
7%
Alexandre Silveira
$805 Vol.
6%
Nikolas Ferreira
$2,363 Vol.
3%
Aécio Neves
$1,138 Vol.
8%
Benoni Mendes
$1,038 Vol.
2%
Tadeu Leite
$1,609 Vol.
11%
Gabriel Azevedo
$1,490 Vol.
1%
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo holds the leading position in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race due to consistent first-round polling leads of 28-37 percent across recent surveys, including Genial/Quaest and Doxa releases from April and May 2026. His strength stems from consolidated conservative and evangelical voter support combined with low rejection rates and favorable hypothetical runoff matchups. Rodrigo Pacheco trails amid ongoing party alignment uncertainties after his PSB affiliation and limited recent polling traction around 6-12 percent. Other contenders such as Alexandre Kalil, Mateus Simões, and Aécio Neves face fragmented backing that restricts consolidation ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the multi-candidate field’s impact on vote distribution.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volumen
$24,035Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo holds the leading position in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race due to consistent first-round polling leads of 28-37 percent across recent surveys, including Genial/Quaest and Doxa releases from April and May 2026. His strength stems from consolidated conservative and evangelical voter support combined with low rejection rates and favorable hypothetical runoff matchups. Rodrigo Pacheco trails amid ongoing party alignment uncertainties after his PSB affiliation and limited recent polling traction around 6-12 percent. Other contenders such as Alexandre Kalil, Mateus Simões, and Aécio Neves face fragmented backing that restricts consolidation ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the multi-candidate field’s impact on vote distribution.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$24,035Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleitinho Azevedo holds the leading position in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race due to consistent first-round polling leads of 28-37 percent across recent surveys, including Genial/Quaest and Doxa releases from April and May 2026. His strength stems from consolidated conservative and evangelical voter support combined with low rejection rates and favorable hypothetical runoff matchups. Rodrigo Pacheco trails amid ongoing party alignment uncertainties after his PSB affiliation and limited recent polling traction around 6-12 percent. Other contenders such as Alexandre Kalil, Mateus Simões, and Aécio Neves face fragmented backing that restricts consolidation ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the multi-candidate field’s impact on vote distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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