The 2026 Paraná Senate race features two seats and a crowded field of confirmed candidates from party conventions, with the second-place outcome remaining tightly contested among Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), Cristina Reis Graeml (PSD), Karen Guerreiro, Dr. Rosinha (PT), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), and Deltan Dallagnol (NOVO). Multiple right-leaning contenders are splitting conservative support in a state with a historically strong right-wing electorate, while PT candidates compete for left-leaning votes without a dominant frontrunner emerging in recent polling. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation, with no single contender pulling decisively ahead for second place ahead of the October vote. Key variables that could separate the field include final registration rulings on eligibility challenges, late campaign alliances or withdrawals, regional turnout patterns in Curitiba and interior municipalities, and any shifts in national party momentum before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGleisi 45%
Joaquim do MLB 44%
Deltan Dallagnol 24%
Dr. Rosinha 23%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Gleisi
45%
Joaquim do MLB
44%
Deltan Dallagnol
24%
Dr. Rosinha
23%
Karen Guerreiro
23%
Cristina Reis Graeml
22%
Alexandre Curi
21%
Filipe Barros
20%
Marcelo Marcelino
13%
Gleisi 45%
Joaquim do MLB 44%
Deltan Dallagnol 24%
Dr. Rosinha 23%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Gleisi
$0 Vol.
45%
Joaquim do MLB
$50 Vol.
44%
Deltan Dallagnol
$0 Vol.
24%
Dr. Rosinha
$21 Vol.
23%
Karen Guerreiro
$66 Vol.
23%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$0 Vol.
22%
Alexandre Curi
$0 Vol.
21%
Filipe Barros
$0 Vol.
20%
Marcelo Marcelino
$20 Vol.
13%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Paraná Senate race features two seats and a crowded field of confirmed candidates from party conventions, with the second-place outcome remaining tightly contested among Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), Cristina Reis Graeml (PSD), Karen Guerreiro, Dr. Rosinha (PT), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), and Deltan Dallagnol (NOVO). Multiple right-leaning contenders are splitting conservative support in a state with a historically strong right-wing electorate, while PT candidates compete for left-leaning votes without a dominant frontrunner emerging in recent polling. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation, with no single contender pulling decisively ahead for second place ahead of the October vote. Key variables that could separate the field include final registration rulings on eligibility challenges, late campaign alliances or withdrawals, regional turnout patterns in Curitiba and interior municipalities, and any shifts in national party momentum before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volumen
$156Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Paraná Senate race features two seats and a crowded field of confirmed candidates from party conventions, with the second-place outcome remaining tightly contested among Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), Cristina Reis Graeml (PSD), Karen Guerreiro, Dr. Rosinha (PT), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), and Deltan Dallagnol (NOVO). Multiple right-leaning contenders are splitting conservative support in a state with a historically strong right-wing electorate, while PT candidates compete for left-leaning votes without a dominant frontrunner emerging in recent polling. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation, with no single contender pulling decisively ahead for second place ahead of the October vote. Key variables that could separate the field include final registration rulings on eligibility challenges, late campaign alliances or withdrawals, regional turnout patterns in Curitiba and interior municipalities, and any shifts in national party momentum before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$156Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Paraná Senate race features two seats and a crowded field of confirmed candidates from party conventions, with the second-place outcome remaining tightly contested among Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), Cristina Reis Graeml (PSD), Karen Guerreiro, Dr. Rosinha (PT), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), and Deltan Dallagnol (NOVO). Multiple right-leaning contenders are splitting conservative support in a state with a historically strong right-wing electorate, while PT candidates compete for left-leaning votes without a dominant frontrunner emerging in recent polling. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation, with no single contender pulling decisively ahead for second place ahead of the October vote. Key variables that could separate the field include final registration rulings on eligibility challenges, late campaign alliances or withdrawals, regional turnout patterns in Curitiba and interior municipalities, and any shifts in national party momentum before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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