Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois holding a modest lead in popular vote at around 30 percent, ahead of the Liberals near 26 percent and the CAQ near 20 percent, with roughly half of voters still undecided seven weeks before the October 5, 2026, vote. The PQ’s stronger position among francophone voters underpins seat projections that give it the clearest path to a majority in the National Assembly. Trader consensus favoring the PQ at 70 percent reflects the CAQ’s sharp decline following François Legault’s January 2026 resignation and the subsequent leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, which has yet to reverse the governing party’s weak standing. The PLQ remains competitive in urban areas but trails in francophone regions that determine most seats, while smaller parties such as QS and the Conservatives register negligible shares. High undecided rates and the short campaign window leave room for late shifts ahead of election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones generales de Quebec
Ganador de las elecciones generales de Quebec
PQ 70%
CAQ 15%
PLQ 14%
PCQ <1%
$762,157 Vol.
$762,157 Vol.
5 oct 2026
PQ
70%
CAQ
15%
PLQ
14%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 70%
CAQ 15%
PLQ 14%
PCQ <1%
$762,157 Vol.
$762,157 Vol.
5 oct 2026
PQ
$82,761 Vol.
70%
CAQ
$109,138 Vol.
15%
PLQ
$102,381 Vol.
14%
PCQ
$208,763 Vol.
<1%
QS
$101,615 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,498 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois holding a modest lead in popular vote at around 30 percent, ahead of the Liberals near 26 percent and the CAQ near 20 percent, with roughly half of voters still undecided seven weeks before the October 5, 2026, vote. The PQ’s stronger position among francophone voters underpins seat projections that give it the clearest path to a majority in the National Assembly. Trader consensus favoring the PQ at 70 percent reflects the CAQ’s sharp decline following François Legault’s January 2026 resignation and the subsequent leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, which has yet to reverse the governing party’s weak standing. The PLQ remains competitive in urban areas but trails in francophone regions that determine most seats, while smaller parties such as QS and the Conservatives register negligible shares. High undecided rates and the short campaign window leave room for late shifts ahead of election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado abierto: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volumen
$762,157Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois holding a modest lead in popular vote at around 30 percent, ahead of the Liberals near 26 percent and the CAQ near 20 percent, with roughly half of voters still undecided seven weeks before the October 5, 2026, vote. The PQ’s stronger position among francophone voters underpins seat projections that give it the clearest path to a majority in the National Assembly. Trader consensus favoring the PQ at 70 percent reflects the CAQ’s sharp decline following François Legault’s January 2026 resignation and the subsequent leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, which has yet to reverse the governing party’s weak standing. The PLQ remains competitive in urban areas but trails in francophone regions that determine most seats, while smaller parties such as QS and the Conservatives register negligible shares. High undecided rates and the short campaign window leave room for late shifts ahead of election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$762,157Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois holding a modest lead in popular vote at around 30 percent, ahead of the Liberals near 26 percent and the CAQ near 20 percent, with roughly half of voters still undecided seven weeks before the October 5, 2026, vote. The PQ’s stronger position among francophone voters underpins seat projections that give it the clearest path to a majority in the National Assembly. Trader consensus favoring the PQ at 70 percent reflects the CAQ’s sharp decline following François Legault’s January 2026 resignation and the subsequent leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, which has yet to reverse the governing party’s weak standing. The PLQ remains competitive in urban areas but trails in francophone regions that determine most seats, while smaller parties such as QS and the Conservatives register negligible shares. High undecided rates and the short campaign window leave room for late shifts ahead of election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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