Russia’s Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, upheld by appeal on August 17, removed Yabloko’s federal party list from the September State Duma ballot after a Rodina lawsuit citing copyright and related claims. The Central Election Commission has since finalized a revised ballot excluding the list, leaving no mechanism for proportional-representation votes that could meet the 5% threshold. Historical precedent shows Yabloko last clearing that bar in 1999 and polling near 1-2% in subsequent cycles amid documented administrative and media constraints. While single-member constituency candidacies remain, they do not affect the list-based threshold market. Late reinstatement via Constitutional Court review or procedural reversal before voting opens September 18-20 represents the narrowest remaining pathway, though current timing and institutional patterns render such outcomes remote in trader assessments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones en Rusia: ¿Yabloko supera el umbral de la Duma?
Elecciones en Rusia: ¿Yabloko supera el umbral de la Duma?
Sí
1% probabilidad
$90,748 Vol.
$90,748 Vol.
20 sep 2026
Sí
1% probabilidad
$90,748 Vol.
$90,748 Vol.
20 sep 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, upheld by appeal on August 17, removed Yabloko’s federal party list from the September State Duma ballot after a Rodina lawsuit citing copyright and related claims. The Central Election Commission has since finalized a revised ballot excluding the list, leaving no mechanism for proportional-representation votes that could meet the 5% threshold. Historical precedent shows Yabloko last clearing that bar in 1999 and polling near 1-2% in subsequent cycles amid documented administrative and media constraints. While single-member constituency candidacies remain, they do not affect the list-based threshold market. Late reinstatement via Constitutional Court review or procedural reversal before voting opens September 18-20 represents the narrowest remaining pathway, though current timing and institutional patterns render such outcomes remote in trader assessments.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
Volumen
$90,748Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, upheld by appeal on August 17, removed Yabloko’s federal party list from the September State Duma ballot after a Rodina lawsuit citing copyright and related claims. The Central Election Commission has since finalized a revised ballot excluding the list, leaving no mechanism for proportional-representation votes that could meet the 5% threshold. Historical precedent shows Yabloko last clearing that bar in 1999 and polling near 1-2% in subsequent cycles amid documented administrative and media constraints. While single-member constituency candidacies remain, they do not affect the list-based threshold market. Late reinstatement via Constitutional Court review or procedural reversal before voting opens September 18-20 represents the narrowest remaining pathway, though current timing and institutional patterns render such outcomes remote in trader assessments.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$90,748Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia’s Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, upheld by appeal on August 17, removed Yabloko’s federal party list from the September State Duma ballot after a Rodina lawsuit citing copyright and related claims. The Central Election Commission has since finalized a revised ballot excluding the list, leaving no mechanism for proportional-representation votes that could meet the 5% threshold. Historical precedent shows Yabloko last clearing that bar in 1999 and polling near 1-2% in subsequent cycles amid documented administrative and media constraints. While single-member constituency candidacies remain, they do not affect the list-based threshold market. Late reinstatement via Constitutional Court review or procedural reversal before voting opens September 18-20 represents the narrowest remaining pathway, though current timing and institutional patterns render such outcomes remote in trader assessments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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